Strasbourg 5-1 Auxerre: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 9 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg · referee G. Paradis · full time
Full time: Strasbourg 5-1 Auxerre
Strasbourg won 5-1 at home to Auxerre in Ligue 1 Matchday 9 on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Dário Essugo 41', Martial Godo 55', Conrad Harder 62', Cameron Archer 68', Gessime Yassine 77', Gessime Yassine 85'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Strasbourg won it
Dário Essugo put Strasbourg ahead in the 41st minute, set up by Oso. Martial Godo made it 2-0 to Strasbourg in the 55th minute, set up by Gessime Yassine. Conrad Harder from the penalty spot made it 3-0 to Strasbourg in the 62nd minute. Cameron Archer made it 3-1 to Auxerre in the 68th minute, set up by Romain Faivre. Gessime Yassine made it 4-1 to Strasbourg in the 77th minute, set up by Sebastian Nanasi. Gessime Yassine made it 5-1 to Strasbourg in the 85th minute, set up by Oso.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
Gessime Yassine scored twice.
Lamfia Dioubaté of Auxerre was sent off in the 74th minute. The referee, G. Paradis, showed 6 yellow cards: 1 to Strasbourg and 5 to Auxerre.
Strasbourg: H. Carvalho Oliveira, 4-3-3 · Auxerre: W. Still, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Strasbourg -0.50, was right: 5-1 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Strasbourg win at 57%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.3 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Strasbourg win at 49%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.48 for Strasbourg and 3.14 for Auxerre.
Strasbourg scored about 4.5 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Auxerre left about 2.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Auxerre created the better chances, 3.14 xG to 0.48, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Strasbourg to create more, and Auxerre did.
Strasbourg had 6 shots on target, Auxerre 2.
Strasbourg had 64% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Strasbourg came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.40 expected goals for and 1.76 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Auxerre came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.4 a match, with 1.13 expected goals for and 1.85 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Strasbourg vs Auxerre: the match in numbers
| Strasbourg | Match statistics | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 64% | Ball possession | 36% |
| 0.48 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.14 |
| 19 | Total shots | 6 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 4 | Big chances | 0 |
| 579 | Total passes | 324 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 26 | Tackles | 13 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Gessime Yassine (Strasbourg), rated 9.6 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.
Strasbourg
- Gessime Yassine 9.6 2 goals, 1 assist
- Martial Godo 7.9 1 goal
- Oso 7.6 2 assists
- Dário Essugo 7.4 1 goal
- Sebastian Nanasi 7.4 1 assist
Auxerre
- Romain Faivre 7.3 1 assist
- Cameron Archer 6.8 1 goal
- Arthur Piedfort 6.5
- Danny Namaso 6.5
- Clément Akpa 6.4
The lowest-rated starter was Paul Nardi at 5.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Strasbourg: Strasbourg vs Brest Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
- Auxerre: Monaco vs Auxerre Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Strasbourg vs Auxerre
What was the score in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Strasbourg 5-1 Auxerre (half-time 1-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Dário Essugo 41', Martial Godo 55', Conrad Harder 62', Cameron Archer 68', Gessime Yassine 77', Gessime Yassine 85'.
Did Moneyball predict Strasbourg vs Auxerre correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Strasbourg -0.50, was right: 5-1 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
Gessime Yassine, rated 9.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
G. Paradis.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.