Sporting Charleroi 5-2 La Louvière: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Belgian Pro League Matchday 10 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi · referee E. Lambrechts · full time
Full time: Sporting Charleroi 5-2 La Louvière
Sporting Charleroi beat La Louvière 5-2 in Belgian Pro League Matchday 10 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. The goals: Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 6', Aurélien Scheidler 33', Freddy Mbemba 49', Léandro Rousseau 75', Mustapha Isah 76', Antoine Colassin 84'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Sporting Charleroi won it
The opening goal came in the 6th minute: Jakob Napoleon Romsaas for Sporting Charleroi, set up by Freddy Mbemba. Aurélien Scheidler from the penalty spot made it 2-0 to Sporting Charleroi in the 33rd minute. An own goal by Wagane Faye made it 3-0 to Sporting Charleroi in the 47th minute. Freddy Mbemba made it 4-0 to Sporting Charleroi in the 49th minute, set up by Patrick Pflücke. Léandro Rousseau made it 4-1 to La Louvière in the 75th minute, set up by Djibril Lamego. Mustapha Isah made it 4-2 to La Louvière in the 76th minute, set up by Wagane Faye. Antoine Colassin made it 5-2 to Sporting Charleroi in the 84th minute, set up by Freddy Mbemba.
It was 2-0 at half-time.
Check Keita of Sporting Charleroi was sent off in the 89th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, E. Lambrechts, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Sporting Charleroi and 1 to La Louvière.
Sporting Charleroi: M. Kohnen, 4-2-3-1 · La Louvière: E. Still, 5-3-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 5-2 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Sporting Charleroi win at 64%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (11%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.0 goals and there were 7.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Sporting Charleroi win at 61%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.92 for Sporting Charleroi and 2.71 for La Louvière.
Sporting Charleroi scored about 4.1 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
La Louvière created the better chances, 2.71 xG to 0.92, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Sporting Charleroi to create more, and La Louvière did.
Sporting Charleroi had 6 shots on target, La Louvière 4.
Sporting Charleroi had 57% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Sporting Charleroi came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 2.21 expected goals for and 1.05 against, and had won 82% of their matches.
La Louvière came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.45 expected goals for and 2.17 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière: the match in numbers
| Sporting Charleroi | Match statistics | La Louvière |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Ball possession | 43% |
| 0.92 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.71 |
| 12 | Total shots | 6 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 6 | Big chances | 2 |
| 539 | Total passes | 389 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 24 | Tackles | 21 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Freddy Mbemba (Sporting Charleroi), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 2 assists.
Sporting Charleroi
- Freddy Mbemba 9.1 1 goal, 2 assists
- Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 7.7 1 goal
- Aurélien Scheidler 7.6 1 goal
- Patrick Pflücke 7.3 1 assist
- Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 7.3
La Louvière
- Mustapha Isah 7.0 1 goal
- Zsombor Gruber 6.8
- Wagane Faye 6.7 1 assist
- Léandro Rousseau 6.6 1 goal
- Anas Tajaouart 6.4
The lowest-rated starter was Thierry Lutonda at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Sporting Charleroi: Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
- La Louvière: Genk vs La Louvière Saturday 21 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière
What was the score in Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière?
Sporting Charleroi 5-2 La Louvière (half-time 2-0), Belgian Pro League, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière?
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 6', Aurélien Scheidler 33', Freddy Mbemba 49', Léandro Rousseau 75', Mustapha Isah 76', Antoine Colassin 84'.
Did Moneyball predict Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 5-2 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière?
Freddy Mbemba, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière?
E. Lambrechts.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.