Sporting Braga 3-0 Famalicão: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Sporting Braga won it

Ricardo Horta put Sporting Braga ahead in the 53rd minute, set up by Adrian Barisic. An own goal by Víctor Rofino made it 2-0 to Sporting Braga in the 67th minute. Pau Víctor made it 3-0 to Sporting Braga in the 88th minute, set up by Víctor Gómez.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Rodrigo Pinheiro of Famalicão was sent off in the 70th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, D. Oliveira Silva, showed 9 yellow cards: 5 to Sporting Braga and 4 to Famalicão.

Sporting Braga: F. da Silva Maia Carvalho, 4-2-3-1 · Famalicão: R. Ferreira Pinto da Silva, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25, and on 3-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Sporting Braga win at 51%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.5 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 45%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 48%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Sporting Braga win at 52%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.16 for Sporting Braga and 1.34 for Famalicão.

Sporting Braga scored about 2.8 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Famalicão left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Famalicão created the better chances, 1.34 xG to 0.16, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Sporting Braga to create more, and Famalicão did.

Sporting Braga had 4 shots on target, Famalicão 1.

Sporting Braga had 59% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sporting Braga came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.33 expected goals for and 0.72 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Famalicão came into it with 11 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.87 expected goals for and 1.22 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Sporting Braga vs Famalicão: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Adrian Barisic (Sporting Braga), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Sporting Braga

• Adrian Barisic 8.1 1 assist
• Ricardo Horta 7.8 1 goal
• Víctor Gómez 7.6 1 assist
• João Moutinho 7.5
• Pau Víctor 7.3 1 goal

Famalicão

• Óscar Aranda 6.8
• Léo Realpe 6.7
• Gil Dias 6.7
• Tom van de Looi 6.7
• Garcia 6.6

The lowest-rated starter was Rodrigo Pinheiro at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Sporting Braga: Sporting Braga vs KuPS Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sporting Braga vs Famalicão

What was the score in Sporting Braga vs Famalicão?

Sporting Braga 3-0 Famalicão (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Sporting Braga vs Famalicão?

Ricardo Horta 53', Pau Víctor 88'.

Did Moneyball predict Sporting Braga vs Famalicão correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25, and on 3-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Sporting Braga vs Famalicão?

Adrian Barisic, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sporting Braga vs Famalicão?

D. Oliveira Silva.