SC Freiburg 3-2 Jablonec: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau · referee E. Maļcevs · full time
Full time: SC Freiburg 3-2 Jablonec
SC Freiburg beat Jablonec 3-2 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Europa-Park Stadion. The goals: Vincenzo Grifo 15', Antonin Rusek 28', Maximilian Eggestein 65', Garang Kuol 90+3'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How SC Freiburg won it
Vincenzo Grifo put SC Freiburg ahead in the 15th minute. Jablonec levelled at 1-1 in the 28th minute through Antonin Rusek, set up by Jiri Slama. An own goal by Dusan Pavlovic made it 2-1 to SC Freiburg in the 53rd minute. Maximilian Eggestein made it 3-1 to SC Freiburg in the 65th minute, set up by Lukas Kübler. Garang Kuol made it 3-2 to Jablonec in the 90th minute (+3), set up by Jan Chramosta.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, E. Maļcevs, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to SC Freiburg and 3 to Jablonec.
SC Freiburg: J. Schuster, 4-2-3-1 · Jablonec: L. Kozel, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 54% for a SC Freiburg win before the match. The scoreline, 3-2, was not the estimate's first choice (1-1).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.6 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 5 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 50%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
SC Freiburg had 9 shots on target, Jablonec 2.
Jablonec's goalkeeper made 8 saves.
SC Freiburg had 60% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
SC Freiburg came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 2.33 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Jablonec came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
SC Freiburg vs Jablonec: the match in numbers
| SC Freiburg | Match statistics | Jablonec |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Ball possession | 40% |
| 23 | Total shots | 11 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 4 | Big chances | 3 |
| 565 | Total passes | 371 |
| 91% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 13 | Tackles | 8 |
| 0 | Saves | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Vincenzo Grifo (SC Freiburg), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
SC Freiburg
- Vincenzo Grifo 8.2 1 goal
- Maximilian Eggestein 7.9 1 goal
- Cyriaque Irié 7.5
- Matthias Ginter 7.3
- Lukas Kübler 7.2 1 assist
Jablonec
- Jan Hanus 8.0
- Garang Kuol 7.0 1 goal
- Antonin Rusek 7.0 1 goal
- Martin Cedidla 6.9
- Vakhtang Chanturishvili 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Saidou Alioum Moubarak at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- SC Freiburg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Jablonec: Jablonec vs Lugano Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about SC Freiburg vs Jablonec
What was the score in SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?
SC Freiburg 3-2 Jablonec (half-time 1-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?
Vincenzo Grifo 15', Antonin Rusek 28', Maximilian Eggestein 65', Garang Kuol 90+3'.
Did Moneyball predict SC Freiburg vs Jablonec correctly?
A correct call on the result: 54% for a SC Freiburg win before the match. The scoreline, 3-2, was not the estimate's first choice (1-1).
Who was man of the match in SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?
Vincenzo Grifo, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?
E. Maļcevs.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.