SC Freiburg 2-0 FC Union Berlin: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 9 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau · referee S. Stegemann · full time
Full time: SC Freiburg 2-0 FC Union Berlin
SC Freiburg won 2-0 at home to FC Union Berlin in Bundesliga Matchday 9 on Sunday 8 November 2026. The goals: Yuito Suzuki 67'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How SC Freiburg won it
SC Freiburg struck first through an own goal by Rani Khedira in the 55th minute. Yuito Suzuki made it 2-0 to SC Freiburg in the 67th minute, set up by Derry Scherhant.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, S. Stegemann, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to SC Freiburg and 2 to FC Union Berlin. Vincenzo Grifo missed a penalty for SC Freiburg in the 84 minute.
SC Freiburg: J. Schuster, 4-2-3-1 · FC Union Berlin: M. Lustrinelli, 4-1-3-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, SC Freiburg -0.75, was right: 2-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a SC Freiburg win at 67%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (11%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 60%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 53%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.55 for SC Freiburg and 2.53 for FC Union Berlin.
SC Freiburg scored about 1.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
FC Union Berlin left about 2.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
FC Union Berlin created the better chances, 2.53 xG to 0.55, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected SC Freiburg to create more, and FC Union Berlin did.
SC Freiburg had 9 shots on target, FC Union Berlin 0.
FC Union Berlin's goalkeeper made 8 saves.
SC Freiburg had 59% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
SC Freiburg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.07 against, and had won 67% of their matches.
FC Union Berlin came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.93 against, and had won 11% of their matches.
SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin: the match in numbers
| SC Freiburg | Match statistics | FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Ball possession | 41% |
| 0.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.53 |
| 20 | Total shots | 4 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 5 | Big chances | 1 |
| 537 | Total passes | 368 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 7 | Tackles | 13 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Frederik Rönnow (FC Union Berlin), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.
SC Freiburg
- Derry Scherhant 8.0 1 assist
- Niklas Beste 7.6
- Yuito Suzuki 7.5 1 goal
- Philipp Treu 7.4
- Matthias Ginter 7.3
FC Union Berlin
- Frederik Rönnow 9.0
- Marvin Friedrich 7.2
- András Schäfer 6.8
- Michel Aebischer 6.6
- Andrej Ilic 6.6
The lowest-rated starter was Igor Matanovic at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- SC Freiburg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- FC Union Berlin: FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin
What was the score in SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin?
SC Freiburg 2-0 FC Union Berlin (half-time 0-0), Bundesliga, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin?
Yuito Suzuki 67'.
Did Moneyball predict SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, SC Freiburg -0.75, was right: 2-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin?
Frederik Rönnow, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin?
S. Stegemann.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.