SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How FC Bayern München won it

FC Bayern München struck first through Dayot Upamecano in the 16th minute, set up by Michael Olise. Serge Gnabry made it 0-2 to FC Bayern München in the 42nd minute, set up by Nathaniel Brown. An own goal by Tom Bischof made it 1-2 to SC Freiburg in the 82nd minute. Michael Olise made it 1-3 to FC Bayern München in the 90th minute (+5).

It was 0-2 at half-time.

The referee, F. Zwayer, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to SC Freiburg and 1 to FC Bayern München.

SC Freiburg: J. Schuster, 4-2-3-1 · FC Bayern München: A. Danks, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 4.25. On 1-3 it was half right.

The estimate's most likely result was a FC Bayern München win at 62%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-2 (9%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 4.0 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 74%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 71%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.89 for SC Freiburg and 1.41 for FC Bayern München.

FC Bayern München made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.6 goals.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected FC Bayern München to create more, and SC Freiburg did.

SC Freiburg had 4 shots on target, FC Bayern München 9.

SC Freiburg's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

FC Bayern München had 56% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

SC Freiburg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.07 against, and had won 67% of their matches.

FC Bayern München came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 3.03 expected goals for and 0.88 against, and had won 67% of their matches.

SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Michael Olise (FC Bayern München), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

SC Freiburg

• Igor Matanovic 6.9
• Mio Backhaus 6.8
• Patrick Osterhage 6.8
• Yuito Suzuki 6.8
• Vincenzo Grifo 6.7

FC Bayern München

• Michael Olise 9.1 1 goal, 1 assist
• Dayot Upamecano 7.7 1 goal
• Serge Gnabry 7.7 1 goal
• Nathaniel Brown 7.4 1 assist
• Jonas Urbig 7.2

The lowest-rated starter was Jordy Makengo at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• SC Freiburg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
• FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München vs FC Köln Friday 20 November 2026 · Bundesliga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München

What was the score in SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München?

SC Freiburg 1-3 FC Bayern München (half-time 0-2), Bundesliga, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München?

Dayot Upamecano 16', Serge Gnabry 42', Michael Olise 90+5'.

Did Moneyball predict SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 4.25. On 1-3 it was half right.

Who was man of the match in SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München?

Michael Olise, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München?

F. Zwayer.