Rodina Moskva 2-1 Krasnodar: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Rodina Moskva won it

Krasnodar struck first through Christian in the 64th minute, set up by Dmitriy Vorobyov. Rodina Moskva levelled at 1-1 in the 69th minute through German Onugkha, set up by Andrey Egorychev. Rodina Moskva turned it round: an own goal by Douglas Augusto made it 2-1 in the 86th minute. A late goal, and the one that decided the result.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, R. Shafeev, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Rodina Moskva and 3 to Krasnodar.

Rodina Moskva: J. Alba Cabello, 5-4-1 · Krasnodar: M. Musaev, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Krasnodar win the likeliest outcome (57%), and a Rodina Moskva win, at 20%, is what happened. At 20%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 60%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.57 for Rodina Moskva and 0.94 for Krasnodar.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Krasnodar to create more, and Rodina Moskva did.

Rodina Moskva had 4 shots on target, Krasnodar 5.

Krasnodar had 54% of the ball, but Rodina Moskva took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Rodina Moskva came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.00 expected goals for and 1.91 against, and had won 21% of their matches.

Krasnodar came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.42 expected goals for and 1.25 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Andrey Egorychev (Rodina Moskva), rated 7.4 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Rodina Moskva

• Andrey Egorychev 7.4 1 assist
• Soltmurad Bakaev 7.4
• Leon Musaev 7.3
• Deiver Machado 7.1
• German Onugkha 7.0 1 goal

Krasnodar

• Christian 7.4 1 goal
• Kevin Lenini 7.4
• Dmitriy Vorobyov 7.2 1 assist
• Lucas Olaza 7.2
• Vítor Tormena 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was João Batxi at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Rodina Moskva: Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
• Krasnodar: Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar Sunday 22 November 2026 · Russian Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar

What was the score in Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar?

Rodina Moskva 2-1 Krasnodar (half-time 0-0), Russian Premier League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar?

Christian 64', German Onugkha 69'.

Did Moneyball predict Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Krasnodar win the likeliest outcome (57%), and a Rodina Moskva win, at 20%, is what happened. At 20%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.

Who was man of the match in Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar?

Andrey Egorychev, rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar?

R. Shafeev.