Riga 1-1 Kairat: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Stadions Skonto, Riga · referee F. Lata · full time
Full time: Riga 1-1 Kairat
Riga and Kairat drew 1-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stadions Skonto. The goals: Marc Gual 5', Salah Oulad 12'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 5th minute: Marc Gual from the penalty spot for Kairat. Riga levelled at 1-1 in the 12th minute through Salah Oulad, set up by Maksims Tonisevs.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, F. Lata, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Riga and 3 to Kairat. Mohamed Badamosi missed a penalty for Riga in the 28 minute.
Riga: A. Guľa, 4-2-3-1 · Kairat: R. Urazbakhtin, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Riga win the likeliest outcome (43%), and a draw, at 35%, is what happened.
On goals the estimate was close: about 1.7 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 24%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 31%; both did, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Riga had 8 shots on target, Kairat 4.
Kairat's goalkeeper made 7 saves.
Riga had 64% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Riga came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Kairat came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 0.76 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Riga vs Kairat: the match in numbers
| Riga | Match statistics | Kairat |
|---|---|---|
| 64% | Ball possession | 36% |
| 18 | Total shots | 14 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 3 | Big chances | 1 |
| 623 | Total passes | 352 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 12 | Tackles | 19 |
| 3 | Saves | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Temirlan Anarbekov (Kairat), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Riga
- Iago Siqueira 7.9
- Salah Oulad 7.9 1 goal
- Ahmed Ankrah 7.6
- Maksims Tonisevs 7.3 1 assist
- Meïssa Diop 7.2
Kairat
- Temirlan Anarbekov 8.3
- Erkin Tapalov 7.3
- Oiva Jukkola 7.2
- Marc Gual 7.0 1 goal
- Azamat Tuyakbaev 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Mohamed Badamosi at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Riga: Kauno Žalgiris vs Riga Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Kairat: Kairat vs Mjällby Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Riga vs Kairat
What was the score in Riga vs Kairat?
Riga 1-1 Kairat (half-time 1-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in Riga vs Kairat?
Marc Gual 5', Salah Oulad 12'.
Did Moneyball predict Riga vs Kairat correctly?
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Riga win the likeliest outcome (43%), and a draw, at 35%, is what happened.
Who was man of the match in Riga vs Kairat?
Temirlan Anarbekov, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Riga vs Kairat?
F. Lata.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.