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Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg

Rennes won 3-0 at home to Strasbourg in Ligue 1 Matchday 8 on Sunday 25 October 2026. The goals: Boulaye Dia 34', Sebastian Szymański 41', Sebastian Szymański 61'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Rennes won it

Rennes struck first through Boulaye Dia in the 34th minute, set up by Przemyslaw Frankowski. Sebastian Szymański made it 2-0 to Rennes in the 41st minute, set up by Mahamadou Nagida. Sebastian Szymański made it 3-0 to Rennes in the 61st minute, set up by Mousa Tamari.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Sebastian Szymański scored twice.

The referee, R. Buquet, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Rennes and 3 to Strasbourg.

Rennes: F. Haise, 5-3-2 · Strasbourg: H. Carvalho Oliveira, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Rennes -0.50, and 3-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Rennes win at 57%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.4 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 66%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 64%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.84 for Rennes and 1.70 for Strasbourg.

Rennes scored about 2.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Strasbourg left about 1.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Strasbourg created the better chances, 1.70 xG to 0.84, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Rennes to create more, and Strasbourg did.

Rennes had 5 shots on target, Strasbourg 4.

Strasbourg had 53% of the ball, but Rennes took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Rennes came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.92 expected goals for and 1.90 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Strasbourg came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.40 expected goals for and 1.76 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Rennes vs Strasbourg: the match in numbers

RennesMatch statisticsStrasbourg
47%Ball possession53%
0.84Expected goals (xG)1.70
15Total shots12
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
476Total passes539
84%Pass accuracy81%
2Corners4
10Fouls17
1Offsides0
23Tackles15
3Saves2
1Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Sebastian Szymański (Rennes), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Rennes

Strasbourg

The lowest-rated starter was Abdoul Karim Coulibaly at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Rennes vs Strasbourg

What was the score in Rennes vs Strasbourg?

Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg (half-time 2-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in Rennes vs Strasbourg?

Boulaye Dia 34', Sebastian Szymański 41', Sebastian Szymański 61'.

Did Moneyball predict Rennes vs Strasbourg correctly?

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Rennes -0.50, and 3-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Rennes vs Strasbourg?

Sebastian Szymański, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Rennes vs Strasbourg?

R. Buquet.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.