Remo 2-1 Botafogo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 33 · Thursday 29 October 2026 · Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença, Belém · referee L. Torezin · full time
Full time: Remo 2-1 Botafogo
Remo 2-1 Botafogo: Remo took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 33 on Thursday 29 October 2026 at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença. The goals: Jajá 8', Leonel Picco 54', Edenilson 83'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Remo won it
Jajá put Remo ahead in the 8th minute. Leonel Picco made it 2-0 to Remo in the 54th minute. Edenilson made it 2-1 to Botafogo in the 83rd minute, set up by Marçal.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, L. Torezin, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Remo and 1 to Botafogo.
Remo: T. Carpini Barbosa, 4-3-3 · Botafogo: A. Bacchi, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75. On 2-1 it was half wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Botafogo win at 38%; a Remo win, at 35%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.7 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 56%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Botafogo win at 39%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.03 for Remo and 0.97 for Botafogo.
Remo had 4 shots on target, Botafogo 2.
Botafogo had 65% of the ball, but Remo took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Remo came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.08 expected goals for and 1.75 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Botafogo came into it with 34 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.22 against, and had won 32% of their matches.
Remo vs Botafogo: the match in numbers
| Remo | Match statistics | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 35% | Ball possession | 65% |
| 1.03 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 11 | Total shots | 15 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 342 | Total passes | 613 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 17 | Tackles | 13 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Marcelinho (Remo), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Remo
- Marcelinho 7.8
- Leonel Picco 7.7 1 goal
- Zé Welison 7.2
- Patrick 7.0
- Marlon 7.0
Botafogo
- Edenilson 7.4 1 goal
- Marçal 7.3 1 assist
- Paulinho 7.3
- Huguinho 7.0
- Arthur Cabral 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Domingos Andrade at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Remo: Remo vs Chapecoense Wednesday 18 November 2026 · Brasileirão
- Botafogo: Corinthians vs Botafogo Thursday 19 November 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Remo vs Botafogo
What was the score in Remo vs Botafogo?
Remo 2-1 Botafogo (half-time 1-0), Brasileirão, Thursday 29 October 2026.
Who scored in Remo vs Botafogo?
Jajá 8', Leonel Picco 54', Edenilson 83'.
Did Moneyball predict Remo vs Botafogo correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75. On 2-1 it was half wrong.
Who was man of the match in Remo vs Botafogo?
Marcelinho, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Remo vs Botafogo?
L. Torezin.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.