MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo A Coruña: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo A Coruña

Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo A Coruña: Real Sociedad took the points in La Liga Matchday 8 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Anoeta Stadium. The goals: Jon Martín Vicente 29', Arsen Zakharyan 34', Gonçalo Guedes 54', Mario Soriano 61', Yeremay Hernández 69'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Real Sociedad won it

Jon Martín Vicente put Real Sociedad ahead in the 29th minute, set up by Carlos Soler. Arsen Zakharyan made it 2-0 to Real Sociedad in the 34th minute. Gonçalo Guedes made it 3-0 to Real Sociedad in the 54th minute, set up by Ander Barrenetxea. Mario Soriano made it 3-1 to Deportivo A Coruña in the 61st minute, set up by Riki Rodríguez. Yeremay Hernández from the penalty spot made it 3-2 to Deportivo A Coruña in the 69th minute.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Pablo Marín of Real Sociedad was sent off in the 66th minute. Lorenzo Amatucci of Deportivo A Coruña was sent off in the 90th minute. The referee, M. Sesma Espinosa, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Real Sociedad and 2 to Deportivo A Coruña.

Real Sociedad: P. Matarazzo, 4-4-2 · Deportivo A Coruña: A. Hidalgo Morilla, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 39% for a Deportivo A Coruña win, 33% for a Real Sociedad win, and football chose the second.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.7 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 50%; with 5 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Real Sociedad win at 47%, a different lean from Moneyball's.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.31 for Real Sociedad and 1.01 for Deportivo A Coruña.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Deportivo A Coruña to create more, and Real Sociedad did.

Real Sociedad had 4 shots on target, Deportivo A Coruña 7.

Real Sociedad's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Deportivo A Coruña had 60% of the ball, but Real Sociedad took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Real Sociedad came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.35 expected goals for and 1.73 against, and had won 58% of their matches.

Deportivo A Coruña came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.19 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo A Coruña: the match in numbers

Real SociedadMatch statisticsDeportivo A Coruña
40%Ball possession60%
2.31Expected goals (xG)1.01
12Total shots21
4Shots on target7
2Big chances3
347Total passes515
82%Pass accuracy86%
7Corners10
14Fouls13
4Offsides0
18Tackles21
6Saves1
1Yellow cards2
1Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Yeremay Hernández (Deportivo A Coruña), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Real Sociedad

Deportivo A Coruña

The lowest-rated starter was Pablo Marín at 5.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Real Sociedad vs Deportivo A Coruña

What was the score in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo A Coruña?

Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo A Coruña (half-time 2-0), La Liga, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo A Coruña?

Jon Martín Vicente 29', Arsen Zakharyan 34', Gonçalo Guedes 54', Mario Soriano 61', Yeremay Hernández 69'.

Did Moneyball predict Real Sociedad vs Deportivo A Coruña correctly?

A miss for the model: 39% for a Deportivo A Coruña win, 33% for a Real Sociedad win, and football chose the second.

Who was man of the match in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo A Coruña?

Yeremay Hernández, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Real Sociedad vs Deportivo A Coruña?

M. Sesma Espinosa.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.