Real Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Real Madrid won it

Real Madrid struck first through Bernardo Silva in the 43rd minute, set up by Arda Güler. Arda Güler made it 2-0 to Real Madrid in the 52nd minute, set up by Kylian Mbappé. Kylian Mbappé made it 3-0 to Real Madrid in the 83rd minute, set up by Yan Diomande. Tidiam Gomis made it 3-1 to RB Leipzig in the 85th minute, set up by Christoph Baumgartner. Yan Diomande made it 4-1 to Real Madrid in the 87th minute, set up by Brahim Díaz.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, I. Kovacs, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Real Madrid and 1 to RB Leipzig.

Real Madrid: José Mourinho, 4-2-3-1 · RB Leipzig: M. Demichelis, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Over 1.50, and on the half-time score, 1-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Real Madrid win at 75%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (8%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 4.1 expected, 5 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 75%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 63%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Real Madrid win at 72%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-21, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Real Madrid had 11 shots on target, RB Leipzig 6.

RB Leipzig's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Real Madrid had 64% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Real Madrid came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 3.3 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 3.11 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.

RB Leipzig came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.38 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Arda Güler (Real Madrid), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Real Madrid

• Arda Güler 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
• Kylian Mbappé 8.0 1 goal, 1 assist
• Yan Diomande 7.8 1 goal, 1 assist
• Jude Bellingham 7.8
• Eduardo Camavinga 7.7

RB Leipzig

• Tidiam Gomis 7.2 1 goal
• Antonio Nusa 7.2
• Maarten Vandevoordt 7.2
• David Raum 6.8
• Christoph Baumgartner 6.8 1 assist

The lowest-rated starter was Castello Lukeba at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Real Madrid: Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026 · La Liga
• RB Leipzig: FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

What was the score in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Real Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig (half-time 1-0), Champions League, Wednesday 21 October 2026.

Who scored in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Bernardo Silva 43', Arda Güler 52', Kylian Mbappé 83', Tidiam Gomis 85', Yan Diomande 87'.

Did Moneyball predict Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Over 1.50, and on the half-time score, 1-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Arda Güler, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

I. Kovacs.