RB Leipzig 4-0 Elversberg: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How RB Leipzig won it

Tidiam Gomis put RB Leipzig ahead in the 48th minute, set up by Antonio Nusa. Rômulo made it 2-0 to RB Leipzig in the 66th minute, set up by Antonio Nusa. Christoph Baumgartner made it 3-0 to RB Leipzig in the 84th minute, set up by Brajan Gruda. Rômulo made it 4-0 to RB Leipzig in the 90th minute (+4), set up by Abdoul Koné.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Rômulo scored twice.

The referee, B. Dankert, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to RB Leipzig and 1 to Elversberg.

RB Leipzig: M. Demichelis, 4-5-1 · Elversberg: V. Wagner, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was RB Leipzig Win, and on 4-0 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a RB Leipzig win at 70%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (9%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 4.0 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 75%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 67%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a RB Leipzig win at 66%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-24, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.64 for RB Leipzig and 2.49 for Elversberg.

RB Leipzig scored about 3.4 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Elversberg left about 2.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Elversberg created the better chances, 2.49 xG to 0.64, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected RB Leipzig to create more, and Elversberg did.

RB Leipzig had 6 shots on target, Elversberg 1.

RB Leipzig had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

RB Leipzig came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 2.37 expected goals for and 1.37 against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Elversberg came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 2.23 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Rômulo (RB Leipzig), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

RB Leipzig

• Rômulo 8.9 2 goals
• Antonio Nusa 8.0 2 assists
• Brajan Gruda 7.8 1 assist
• Willi Orbán 7.4
• Benjamin Henrichs 7.3

Elversberg

• Felix Keidel 6.9
• David Mokwa 6.7
• Lasse Günther 6.7
• Lukasz Poreba 6.6
• Raif Adam 6.5

The lowest-rated starter was Nicolas Kristof at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• RB Leipzig: FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
• Elversberg: Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about RB Leipzig vs Elversberg

What was the score in RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?

RB Leipzig 4-0 Elversberg (half-time 0-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 24 October 2026.

Who scored in RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?

Tidiam Gomis 48', Rômulo 66', Christoph Baumgartner 84', Rômulo 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict RB Leipzig vs Elversberg correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was RB Leipzig Win, and on 4-0 it was right.

Who was man of the match in RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?

Rômulo, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?

B. Dankert.