Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Burnley: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Burnley struck first through Largie Ramazani in the 38th minute, set up by Jamie Vardy. Queens Park Rangers levelled at 1-1 in the 65th minute through Jonathan Varane, set up by Ilias Chair.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, T. Reeves, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Queens Park Rangers and 2 to Burnley.

Queens Park Rangers: J. Stéphan, 4-4-2 · Burnley: F. Celestini, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Queens Park Rangers win the likeliest outcome (59%), and a draw, at 22%, is what happened. At 22%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.24 for Queens Park Rangers and 2.08 for Burnley.

Burnley left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Burnley created the better chances, 2.08 xG to 0.24, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Queens Park Rangers to create more, and Burnley did.

Queens Park Rangers had 5 shots on target, Burnley 1.

Queens Park Rangers had 58% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Queens Park Rangers came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.83 expected goals for and 1.19 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Burnley came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.41 expected goals for and 1.80 against, and had won 7% of their matches.

Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Glen Kamara (Queens Park Rangers), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Queens Park Rangers

• Glen Kamara 7.9
• Jonathan Varane 7.4 1 goal
• Harvey Vale 7.2
• Ilias Chair 7.2 1 assist
• Kealey Adamson 7.2

Burnley

• Kyle Walker 7.2
• Largie Ramazani 7.1 1 goal
• Lucas Pires 7.1
• Hjalmar Ekdal 7.0
• Grégoire Coudert 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Richard Kone at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Queens Park Rangers: Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
• Burnley: Burnley vs Blackburn Rovers Sunday 22 November 2026 · Championship

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley

What was the score in Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?

Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Burnley (half-time 0-1), Championship, Tuesday 3 November 2026.

Who scored in Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?

Largie Ramazani 38', Jonathan Varane 65'.

Did Moneyball predict Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Queens Park Rangers win the likeliest outcome (59%), and a draw, at 22%, is what happened. At 22%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.

Who was man of the match in Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?

Glen Kamara, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley?

T. Reeves.