Portsmouth 3-1 Swansea City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 14 · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · Fratton Park, Portsmouth · referee M. Corlett · full time
Full time: Portsmouth 3-1 Swansea City
Portsmouth 3-1 Swansea City: Portsmouth took the points in Championship Matchday 14 on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Fratton Park. The goals: Terry Devlin 36', Zan Vipotnik 85', Terry Devlin 90+2', Thomas Waddingham 90+8'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Portsmouth won it
Terry Devlin put Portsmouth ahead in the 36th minute, set up by Odin Bailey. Swansea City levelled at 1-1 in the 85th minute through Zan Vipotnik from the penalty spot. Terry Devlin made it 2-1 to Portsmouth in the 90th minute (+2). Thomas Waddingham made it 3-1 to Portsmouth in the 90th minute (+8).
It was 1-0 at half-time.
Terry Devlin scored twice.
The referee, M. Corlett, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Portsmouth and 1 to Swansea City.
Portsmouth: J. Mousinho, 4-2-3-1 · Swansea City: V. Emanuel Soares Matos, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 36% for a Portsmouth win before the match. The scoreline, 3-1, was not the estimate's first choice (2-0).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.4 goals and there were 4.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 44%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 50%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-03, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.07 for Portsmouth and 1.19 for Swansea City.
Portsmouth had 5 shots on target, Swansea City 3.
Swansea City had 64% of the ball, but Portsmouth took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Portsmouth came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.28 against, and had won 40% of their matches.
Swansea City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 1.48 against, and had won 53% of their matches.
Portsmouth vs Swansea City: the match in numbers
| Portsmouth | Match statistics | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| 36% | Ball possession | 64% |
| 2.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.19 |
| 13 | Total shots | 10 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 276 | Total passes | 494 |
| 54% | Pass accuracy | 75% |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Offsides | 4 |
| 14 | Tackles | 18 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Terry Devlin (Portsmouth), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Portsmouth
- Terry Devlin 8.8 2 goals
- Thomas Waddingham 7.2 1 goal
- Jayden Meghoma 7.1
- Adrian Segečić 7.0
- Odin Bailey 6.9 1 assist
Swansea City
- Zan Vipotnik 7.4 1 goal
- Elijah Just 7.2
- Marko Stamenić 7.0
- Melker Widell 7.0
- Jay Fulton 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Joseph Opoku at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Portsmouth: Bolton Wanderers vs Portsmouth Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
- Swansea City: Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Portsmouth vs Swansea City
What was the score in Portsmouth vs Swansea City?
Portsmouth 3-1 Swansea City (half-time 1-0), Championship, Tuesday 3 November 2026.
Who scored in Portsmouth vs Swansea City?
Terry Devlin 36', Zan Vipotnik 85', Terry Devlin 90+2', Thomas Waddingham 90+8'.
Did Moneyball predict Portsmouth vs Swansea City correctly?
A correct call on the result: 36% for a Portsmouth win before the match. The scoreline, 3-1, was not the estimate's first choice (2-0).
Who was man of the match in Portsmouth vs Swansea City?
Terry Devlin, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Portsmouth vs Swansea City?
M. Corlett.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.