Persija 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga 1 Indonesia Matchday 9 · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno, Jakarta · referee Y. Suprianto · full time
Full time: Persija 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya
Persija beat Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 in Liga 1 Indonesia Matchday 9 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno. The goals: Ivan Mamut 89'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Persija won it
Persija struck first through Ivan Mamut in the 89th minute. It came late, and it settled the match.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, Y. Suprianto, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Persija and 2 to Persebaya Surabaya.
Persija: T. Shin, 4-2-3-1 · Persebaya Surabaya: B. Tavares, 3-4-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Persija Jakarta Win, and 1-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Persija win at 55%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.9 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Persija had 0 shots on target, Persebaya Surabaya 2.
Persija had 72% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Persija came into it with 9 Liga 1 Indonesia matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.9 a match, and had won 78% of their matches.
Persebaya Surabaya came into it with 9 Liga 1 Indonesia matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 a match, and had won 33% of their matches.
Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya: the match in numbers
| Persija | Match statistics | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| 72% | Ball possession | 28% |
| 2 | Total shots | 3 |
| 0 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 524 | Total passes | 195 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 61% |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 0 | Tackles | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Nadeo Argawinata (Persija), rated 7.2 by Sportmonks.
Persija
- Nadeo Argawinata 7.2
- Chang-hoon Kwon 7.0
- Fábio Calonego 7.0
- Ivan Mamut 6.9 1 goal
- Arlyansyah Abdulmanan 6.7
Persebaya Surabaya
- Ramadhan Sananta 7.1
- Jefferson 7.0
- Toni Firmansyah 6.8
- Francisco Rivera 6.7
- Gledson 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Arief Catur at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Persija: PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga 1 Indonesia
- Persebaya Surabaya: Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026 · Liga 1 Indonesia
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya
What was the score in Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persija 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya (half-time 0-0), Liga 1 Indonesia, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Ivan Mamut 89'.
Did Moneyball predict Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Persija Jakarta Win, and 1-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Nadeo Argawinata, rated 7.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Y. Suprianto.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.