PEC Zwolle 1-0 ADO Den Haag: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How PEC Zwolle won it

Dylan Mbayo put PEC Zwolle ahead in the 45th minute, set up by Younes Namli.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, J. Manschot, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to PEC Zwolle and 3 to ADO Den Haag.

PEC Zwolle: D. van der Ree, 4-3-3 · ADO Den Haag: R. Peter, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, PEC Zwolle -0.25, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a PEC Zwolle win at 44%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.8 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 57%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.62 for PEC Zwolle and 1.96 for ADO Den Haag.

ADO Den Haag left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

ADO Den Haag created the better chances, 1.96 xG to 0.62, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected PEC Zwolle to create more, and ADO Den Haag did.

PEC Zwolle had 5 shots on target, ADO Den Haag 4.

ADO Den Haag had 66% of the ball, but PEC Zwolle took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

PEC Zwolle came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.21 expected goals for and 1.98 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

ADO Den Haag came into it with 12 Eredivisie matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.98 against, and had won 17% of their matches.

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Tobias Sommer (PEC Zwolle), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

PEC Zwolle

• Tobias Sommer 7.8
• Ryan Thomas 7.5
• Damian van der Haar 7.4
• Younes Namli 7.3 1 assist
• Sydney van Hooijdonk 7.3

ADO Den Haag

• Kilian Nikièma 7.6
• Juho Kilo 7.5
• Milan Hokke 7.5
• Matteo Waem 7.1
• Pascal Mulder 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Jonas Jensen-Abbew at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• PEC Zwolle: Telstar vs PEC Zwolle Saturday 21 November 2026 · Eredivisie
• ADO Den Haag: Ajax vs ADO Den Haag Sunday 22 November 2026 · Eredivisie

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag

What was the score in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

PEC Zwolle 1-0 ADO Den Haag (half-time 1-0), Eredivisie, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

Dylan Mbayo 45'.

Did Moneyball predict PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, PEC Zwolle -0.25, was right: 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

Tobias Sommer, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag?

J. Manschot.