Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Troyes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Paris Saint Germain won it

Ilya Zabarnyi put Paris Saint Germain ahead in the 39th minute, set up by Senny Mayulu.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, R. Buquet, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Paris Saint Germain and 2 to Troyes.

Paris Saint Germain: L. Martínez García, 4-3-3 · Troyes: S. Dumont, 4-5-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, HT Paris Saint Germain Win, was right: the half-time score, 1-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Paris Saint Germain win at 79%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (11%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.5 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 51%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.73 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.75 for Troyes.

Troyes left about 1.8 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Troyes created the better chances, 1.75 xG to 0.73, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Paris Saint Germain to create more, and Troyes did.

Paris Saint Germain had 7 shots on target, Troyes 3.

Troyes's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Paris Saint Germain had 73% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Paris Saint Germain came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.28 expected goals for and 1.15 against, and had won 70% of their matches.

Troyes came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.23 expected goals for and 1.46 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ilya Zabarnyi (Paris Saint Germain), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Paris Saint Germain

• Ilya Zabarnyi 8.0 1 goal
• Warren Zaïre-Emery 7.9
• Vitinha 7.9
• Désiré Doué 7.8
• Senny Mayulu 7.6 1 assist

Troyes

• Hillel Konaté 7.7
• Karim Dermane 7.5
• Antoine Mille 7.1
• Ismaël Boura 7.1
• Adrien Monfray 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Renaud Ripart at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Paris Saint Germain: Nice vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
• Troyes: Troyes vs Le Havre Friday 20 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes

What was the score in Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?

Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Troyes (half-time 1-0), Ligue 1, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?

Ilya Zabarnyi 39'.

Did Moneyball predict Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, HT Paris Saint Germain Win, was right: the half-time score, 1-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?

Ilya Zabarnyi, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?

R. Buquet.