Pafos FC 1-1 Riga: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October 2026 · Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos · referee M. Barbu · full time
Full time: Pafos FC 1-1 Riga
Pafos FC and Riga drew 1-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 2 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The goals: Caio 67', Biel 76'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How the match unfolded
Caio put Riga ahead in the 67th minute, set up by Salah Oulad. Pafos FC levelled at 1-1 in the 76th minute through Biel, set up by Ken Sema.
It was 0-0 at half-time.
The referee, M. Barbu, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Pafos FC and 1 to Riga.
Pafos FC: R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto, 4-3-3 · Riga: A. Guľa, 4-1-3-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball called this one exactly. The most likely score before kick-off was 1-1, at 12%, and 1-1 is how it finished.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Pafos FC had 4 shots on target, Riga 3.
Pafos FC had 51% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Pafos FC came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.16 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Riga came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Pafos FC vs Riga: the match in numbers
| Pafos FC | Match statistics | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Ball possession | 49% |
| 17 | Total shots | 16 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 2 | Big chances | 5 |
| 402 | Total passes | 393 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 16 | Tackles | 19 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Salah Oulad (Riga), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
Pafos FC
- Biel 7.3 1 goal
- David Luiz 7.3
- Bruno 7.1
- Anderson Silva 7.0
- Vlad Dragomir 7.0
Riga
- Salah Oulad 7.6 1 assist
- Iago Siqueira 7.4
- Raki Aouani 7.3
- Reginaldo Ramires 7.2
- Caio 7.1 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Samy Mmaee at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Pafos FC: Pafos FC vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Riga: Kauno Žalgiris vs Riga Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Pafos FC vs Riga
What was the score in Pafos FC vs Riga?
Pafos FC 1-1 Riga (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.
Who scored in Pafos FC vs Riga?
Caio 67', Biel 76'.
Did Moneyball predict Pafos FC vs Riga correctly?
Moneyball called this one exactly. The most likely score before kick-off was 1-1, at 12%, and 1-1 is how it finished.
Who was man of the match in Pafos FC vs Riga?
Salah Oulad, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Pafos FC vs Riga?
M. Barbu.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.