OH Leuven 2-0 Mechelen: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How OH Leuven won it

Emmanuel Addai put OH Leuven ahead in the 50th minute, set up by Robin Mirisola. William Balikwisha made it 2-0 to OH Leuven in the 90th minute (+4).

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, L. Visser, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to OH Leuven and 2 to Mechelen.

OH Leuven: T. Simons, 3-4-2-1 · Mechelen: F. Vanderbiest, 3-4-1-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 39% for an OH Leuven win before the match. The scoreline, 2-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.80 for OH Leuven and 1.68 for Mechelen.

OH Leuven scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Mechelen left about 1.7 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Mechelen created the better chances, 1.68 xG to 0.80, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected OH Leuven to create more, and Mechelen did.

OH Leuven had 3 shots on target, Mechelen 2.

Mechelen had 57% of the ball, but OH Leuven took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

OH Leuven came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 2.11 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Mechelen came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 1.58 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

OH Leuven vs Mechelen: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Siebe Schrijvers (OH Leuven), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

OH Leuven

• Siebe Schrijvers 7.8
• Robin Mirisola 7.7 1 assist
• Ewoud Pletinckx 7.7
• Emmanuel Addai 7.6 1 goal
• William Balikwisha 7.1 1 goal

Mechelen

• Myron van Brederode 7.3
• Fredrik Hammar 7.0
• Simion Michez 7.0
• Mike Eerdhuijzen 6.9
• Ortwin De Wolf 6.9

The lowest-rated starter was Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• OH Leuven: Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
• Mechelen: Mechelen vs Club Brugge Saturday 21 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about OH Leuven vs Mechelen

What was the score in OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

OH Leuven 2-0 Mechelen (half-time 0-0), Belgian Pro League, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

Emmanuel Addai 50', William Balikwisha 90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict OH Leuven vs Mechelen correctly?

A correct call on the result: 39% for an OH Leuven win before the match. The scoreline, 2-0, was not the estimate's first choice (2-1).

Who was man of the match in OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

Siebe Schrijvers, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed OH Leuven vs Mechelen?

L. Visser.