Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Unión Santa Fe: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa, Rosario · referee D. Zamora · full time
Full time: Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Unión Santa Fe
Newell's Old Boys and Unión Santa Fe drew 1-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 15 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa. The goals: Juan Pablo Ludueña 59'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How the match unfolded
Unión Santa Fe struck first through Juan Pablo Ludueña in the 59th minute, set up by Marcelo Estigarribia. Newell's Old Boys levelled at 1-1 in the 76th minute through an own goal by Ignacio Isla.
It was 0-0 at half-time.
Frank Kudelka of Newell's Old Boys was sent off in the 90th minute (+6). The referee, D. Zamora, showed 8 yellow cards: 4 to Newell's Old Boys and 4 to Unión Santa Fe.
Newell's Old Boys: F. Kudelka, 4-2-3-1 · Unión Santa Fe: L. Madelón, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25. On 1-1 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Newell's Old Boys win at 43%; a draw, at 29%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.3 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 40%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Newell's Old Boys win at 45%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.10 for Newell's Old Boys and 0.41 for Unión Santa Fe.
Newell's Old Boys had 2 shots on target, Unión Santa Fe 5.
Newell's Old Boys had 61% of the ball.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Newell's Old Boys came into it with 32 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.95 expected goals for and 1.04 against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Unión Santa Fe came into it with 34 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.16 against, and had won 35% of their matches.
Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe: the match in numbers
| Newell's Old Boys | Match statistics | Unión Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| 61% | Ball possession | 39% |
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.41 |
| 6 | Total shots | 12 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 0 | Big chances | 2 |
| 435 | Total passes | 273 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 67% |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 18 | Tackles | 17 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Joaquín Mosqueira (Unión Santa Fe), rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.
Newell's Old Boys
- Luca Regiardo 7.2
- Nicolás Goitea 7.2
- Jeronimo Russo 6.9
- Josué Reinatti 6.9
- Ignacio Ramírez 6.7
Unión Santa Fe
- Joaquín Mosqueira 7.4
- Juan Pablo Ludueña 7.3 1 goal
- Matías Mansilla 7.2
- Cristian Tarragona 7.2
- Marcelo Estigarribia 7.0 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Facundo Guch at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Newell's Old Boys: Gimnasia La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys Monday 23 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe
What was the score in Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe?
Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Unión Santa Fe (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe?
Juan Pablo Ludueña 59'.
Did Moneyball predict Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.25. On 1-1 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe?
Joaquín Mosqueira, rated 7.4 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Newell's Old Boys vs Unión Santa Fe?
D. Zamora.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.