Newcastle United 0-1 Everton: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Everton won it

The opening goal came in the 49th minute: Thierno Barry for Everton.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Jacob Ramsey of Newcastle United was sent off in the 90th minute (+8) for a second yellow card. The referee, J. Brooks, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Newcastle United and 3 to Everton.

Newcastle United: M. Jaissle, 4-2-3-1 · Everton: D. Moyes, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75, and on 0-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Everton win at 38%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.0 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Newcastle United win at 39%, a different lean from Moneyball's.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.38 for Newcastle United and 1.65 for Everton.

Newcastle United scored about 2.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Everton to create more, and Newcastle United did.

Newcastle United had 2 shots on target, Everton 5.

Newcastle United had 52% of the ball, but Everton took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Newcastle United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.26 expected goals for and 1.84 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Everton came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.52 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Newcastle United vs Everton: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Newcastle United

• Fabian Schär 6.8
• Bazoumana Touré 6.8
• Lukas Hornicek 6.7
• Lewis Hall 6.7
• Joe Willock 6.7

Everton

• Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 8.1
• Jarrad Branthwaite 7.7
• Thierno Barry 7.7 1 goal
• James Garner 7.5
• Harrison Armstrong 7.2

The lowest-rated starter was Harvey Barnes at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Newcastle United: Newcastle United vs Arsenal Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Everton: Brentford vs Everton Monday 23 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Newcastle United vs Everton

What was the score in Newcastle United vs Everton?

Newcastle United 0-1 Everton (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Monday 2 November 2026.

Who scored in Newcastle United vs Everton?

Thierno Barry 49'.

Did Moneyball predict Newcastle United vs Everton correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75, and on 0-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Newcastle United vs Everton?

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Newcastle United vs Everton?

J. Brooks.