Napoli 3-3 Roma: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 8 · Saturday 24 October 2026 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli · referee A. Colombo · full time
Full time: Napoli 3-3 Roma
Napoli and Roma drew 3-3 in Serie A Matchday 8 on Saturday 24 October 2026 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The goals: Frank Anguissa 28', Scott McTominay 48', Matías Soulé 69', Leonardo Balerdi 74', Scott McTominay 83', Leonardo Balerdi 89'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 28th minute: Frank Anguissa for Napoli. Scott McTominay made it 2-0 to Napoli in the 48th minute, set up by Matteo Politano. Matías Soulé made it 2-1 to Roma in the 69th minute, set up by Donyell Malen. Roma levelled at 2-2 in the 74th minute through Leonardo Balerdi, set up by Santiago Castro. Scott McTominay made it 3-2 to Napoli in the 83rd minute, set up by Mathías Olivera. Roma levelled at 3-3 in the 89th minute through Leonardo Balerdi, set up by Wesley. A late equaliser, and a point saved.
Napoli were two goals up and could not hold on: Roma came back from two down for a draw.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Scott McTominay scored twice.
Leonardo Balerdi scored twice.
Massimiliano Allegri of Napoli was sent off in the 90th minute (+1). Massimiliano Allegri of Napoli was sent off in the 90th minute (+2). The referee, A. Colombo, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to Napoli and 4 to Roma.
Napoli: M. Allegri, 4-3-3 · Roma: G. Gasperini, 3-5-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Napoli +0.25. On 3-3 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Napoli win at 38%; a draw, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.9 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Roma win at 39%, a different lean from Moneyball's.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-24, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.88 for Napoli and 2.34 for Roma.
Napoli scored about 1.1 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Napoli to create more, and Roma did.
Napoli had 9 shots on target, Roma 4.
Roma's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Roma had 61% of the ball.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Napoli came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.79 expected goals for and 1.39 against, and had won 36% of their matches.
Roma came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 2.32 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 73% of their matches.
Napoli vs Roma: the match in numbers
| Napoli | Match statistics | Roma |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | Ball possession | 61% |
| 1.88 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.34 |
| 15 | Total shots | 24 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Big chances | 2 |
| 378 | Total passes | 582 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Tackles | 15 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Scott McTominay (Napoli), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Napoli
- Scott McTominay 8.8 2 goals
- Matteo Politano 7.4 1 assist
- Frank Anguissa 7.4 1 goal
- Rasmus Højlund 7.1
- Rafa Marín 6.9
Roma
- Matías Soulé 8.7 1 goal
- Leonardo Balerdi 8.5 2 goals
- Marten de Roon 7.4
- Donyell Malen 7.4 1 assist
- Pierluigi Gollini 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Gianluca Mancini at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Napoli: Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
- Roma: Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Napoli vs Roma
What was the score in Napoli vs Roma?
Napoli 3-3 Roma (half-time 1-0), Serie A, Saturday 24 October 2026.
Who scored in Napoli vs Roma?
Frank Anguissa 28', Scott McTominay 48', Matías Soulé 69', Leonardo Balerdi 74', Scott McTominay 83', Leonardo Balerdi 89'.
Did Moneyball predict Napoli vs Roma correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Napoli +0.25. On 3-3 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in Napoli vs Roma?
Scott McTominay, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Napoli vs Roma?
A. Colombo.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.