Monza 1-4 Napoli: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Napoli won it

Rasmus Højlund put Napoli ahead in the 10th minute, set up by Giovanni Di Lorenzo. Monza levelled at 1-1 in the 43rd minute through Gustavo Varela, set up by Jay Robinson. Matteo Politano made it 1-2 to Napoli in the 48th minute. Rafa Marín made it 1-3 to Napoli in the 62nd minute, set up by Matteo Politano. Kevin De Bruyne made it 1-4 to Napoli in the 67th minute, set up by Noa Lang.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, G. Ayroldi, showed 4 yellow cards: 4 to Monza and 0 to Napoli.

Monza: I. Juric, 3-4-2-1 · Napoli: M. Landucci, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Napoli -0.50, and on 1-4 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Napoli win at 47%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.1 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 60%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.82 for Monza and 1.02 for Napoli.

Napoli made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.0 goals.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Napoli to create more, and Monza did.

Monza had 5 shots on target, Napoli 7.

Napoli's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Napoli had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Monza came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and 1.55 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Napoli came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.79 expected goals for and 1.39 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Monza vs Napoli: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Matteo Politano (Napoli), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Monza

• Gustavo Varela 7.5 1 goal
• Jay Robinson 7.2 1 assist
• Foe Ondoa 6.9
• Cyril Ngonge 6.7
• Valentin Antov 6.6

Napoli

• Matteo Politano 8.1 1 goal, 1 assist
• Noa Lang 8.1 1 assist
• Rafa Marín 8.0 1 goal
• Kevin De Bruyne 7.5 1 goal
• Vanja Milinković-Savić 7.4

The lowest-rated starter was Ricardo Mangas at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Monza: Monza vs Fiorentina Monday 23 November 2026 · Serie A
• Napoli: Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Monza vs Napoli

What was the score in Monza vs Napoli?

Monza 1-4 Napoli (half-time 1-1), Serie A, Wednesday 28 October 2026.

Who scored in Monza vs Napoli?

Rasmus Højlund 10', Gustavo Varela 43', Matteo Politano 48', Rafa Marín 62', Kevin De Bruyne 67'.

Did Moneyball predict Monza vs Napoli correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Napoli -0.50, and on 1-4 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Monza vs Napoli?

Matteo Politano, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Monza vs Napoli?

G. Ayroldi.