Monza 4-0 Cagliari: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Monza won it

The opening goal came in the 39th minute: Eddy Kouadio for Monza, set up by Dany Mota. Gustavo Varela made it 2-0 to Monza in the 47th minute, set up by Foe Ondoa. Jay Robinson made it 3-0 to Monza in the 66th minute, set up by Gustavo Varela. Gustavo Varela made it 4-0 to Monza in the 79th minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Gustavo Varela scored twice.

The referee, A. Calzavara, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Monza and 2 to Cagliari.

Monza: I. Juric, 3-4-2-1 · Cagliari: Giacomo Murelli, 4-3-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Monza -0.25, and on 4-0 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Monza win at 46%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.7 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Monza win at 41%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.05 for Monza and 1.39 for Cagliari.

Monza scored about 1.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Cagliari left about 1.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Monza had 6 shots on target, Cagliari 5.

Monza's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Cagliari had 54% of the ball, but Monza took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Monza came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and 1.55 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Cagliari came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.17 expected goals for and 1.82 against, and had won 45% of their matches.

Monza vs Cagliari: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Gustavo Varela (Monza), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.

Monza

• Gustavo Varela 9.0 2 goals, 1 assist
• Eddy Kouadio 8.1 1 goal
• Noel Törnqvist 7.9
• Dany Mota 7.6 1 assist
• Saba Goglichidze 7.4

Cagliari

• Alessandro Romano 6.9
• Alessandro Deiola 6.9
• Yerry Mina 6.8
• Juan Rodríguez 6.8
• Alieu Fadera 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Michel Adopo at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Monza: Monza vs Fiorentina Monday 23 November 2026 · Serie A
• Cagliari: Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Monza vs Cagliari

What was the score in Monza vs Cagliari?

Monza 4-0 Cagliari (half-time 1-0), Serie A, Monday 19 October 2026.

Who scored in Monza vs Cagliari?

Eddy Kouadio 39', Gustavo Varela 47', Jay Robinson 66', Gustavo Varela 79'.

Did Moneyball predict Monza vs Cagliari correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Monza -0.25, and on 4-0 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Monza vs Cagliari?

Gustavo Varela, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Monza vs Cagliari?

A. Calzavara.