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Mjällby 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Mjällby 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes

Mjällby 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes: Mjällby took the points in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Olympia. The goals: Jacob Bergström 54', Axel Norén 65'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Mjällby won it

Jacob Bergström put Mjällby ahead in the 54th minute. Axel Norén made it 2-0 to Mjällby in the 65th minute, set up by Abdullah Iqbal.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, M. Antoniou, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Mjällby and 1 to Inter Club d'Escaldes.

Mjällby: A. Brännström, 3-5-1-1 · Inter Club d'Escaldes: F. Ortiz Martinez, 4-1-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A miss for the model: 46% for an Inter Club d'Escaldes win, 24% for a Mjällby win, and football chose the second. At 24%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.2 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 38%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 44%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Mjällby had 7 shots on target, Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.

Inter Club d'Escaldes had 56% of the ball, but Mjällby took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Mjällby came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.3 a match, with 1.97 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.

Inter Club d'Escaldes came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 0.30 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: the match in numbers

MjällbyMatch statisticsInter Club d'Escaldes
44%Ball possession56%
13Total shots9
7Shots on target0
4Big chances1
428Total passes555
82%Pass accuracy86%
6Corners3
9Fouls14
2Offsides1
33Tackles26
0Saves3
3Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Axel Norén (Mjällby), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Mjällby

Inter Club d'Escaldes

The lowest-rated starter was Domi Berlanga at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

What was the score in Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?

Mjällby 2-0 Inter Club d'Escaldes (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?

Jacob Bergström 54', Axel Norén 65'.

Did Moneyball predict Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes correctly?

A miss for the model: 46% for an Inter Club d'Escaldes win, 24% for a Mjällby win, and football chose the second. At 24%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 4.

Who was man of the match in Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?

Axel Norén, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes?

M. Antoniou.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.