Olympique Marseille 2-0 Toulouse: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Olympique Marseille won it

Amine Harit put Olympique Marseille ahead in the 1st minute, set up by Amine Gouiri. Amine Gouiri made it 2-0 to Olympique Marseille in the 25th minute, set up by Igor Paixão.

It was 2-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, H. Ben El Hadj, showed 3 yellow cards: 2 to Olympique Marseille and 1 to Toulouse.

Olympique Marseille: B. Génésio, 4-1-4-1 · Toulouse: J. Askou, 4-2-2-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.00, and on 2-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Olympique Marseille win at 46%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.4 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 67%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Olympique Marseille win at 45%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.93 for Olympique Marseille and 1.15 for Toulouse.

Toulouse left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Olympique Marseille had 3 shots on target, Toulouse 7.

Olympique Marseille's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Toulouse had 56% of the ball, but Olympique Marseille took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Olympique Marseille came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and 1.97 against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Toulouse came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and 1.44 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jeffrey de Lange (Olympique Marseille), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Olympique Marseille

• Jeffrey de Lange 8.2
• Amine Gouiri 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
• Amine Harit 7.9 1 goal
• CJ Egan-Riley 7.7
• Igor Paixão 7.5 1 assist

Toulouse

• Cristian Cásseres Jr. 8.0
• Thomas Jørgensen 7.0
• Niklas Schmidt 6.9
• Mark McKenzie 6.8
• Jacen Russell-Rowe 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Rasmus Nicolaisen at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Olympique Marseille: Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1
• Toulouse: Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse

What was the score in Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse?

Olympique Marseille 2-0 Toulouse (half-time 2-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse?

Amine Harit 1', Amine Gouiri 25'.

Did Moneyball predict Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 3.00, and on 2-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse?

Jeffrey de Lange, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse?

H. Ben El Hadj.