Manchester United 0-3 AFC Bournemouth: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 8 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Old Trafford, Manchester · referee J. Gillett · full time
Full time: Manchester United 0-3 AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth beat Manchester United 3-0 in Premier League Matchday 8 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Old Trafford. The goals: Rayan 38', Marcus Tavernier 43', Evanilson 71'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How AFC Bournemouth won it
The opening goal came in the 38th minute: Rayan for AFC Bournemouth, set up by Justin Kluivert. Marcus Tavernier made it 0-2 to AFC Bournemouth in the 43rd minute, set up by Adrien Truffert. Evanilson made it 0-3 to AFC Bournemouth in the 71st minute, set up by Lewis Cook.
It was 0-2 at half-time.
The referee, J. Gillett, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Manchester United and 1 to AFC Bournemouth.
Manchester United: M. Carrick, 4-2-3-1 · AFC Bournemouth: M. Rose, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25. On 0-3 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Manchester United win at 38%; an AFC Bournemouth win, at 37%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 57%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 61%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Manchester United win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.39 for Manchester United and 1.26 for AFC Bournemouth.
Manchester United scored about 1.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
AFC Bournemouth made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.7 goals.
Manchester United had 5 shots on target, AFC Bournemouth 4.
Manchester United had 63% of the ball, but AFC Bournemouth took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Manchester United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.49 against, and had won 10% of their matches.
AFC Bournemouth came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.60 expected goals for and 1.08 against, and had won 40% of their matches.
Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth: the match in numbers
| Manchester United | Match statistics | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Ball possession | 37% |
| 1.39 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.26 |
| 17 | Total shots | 10 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 0 | Big chances | 6 |
| 649 | Total passes | 374 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 72% |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 16 | Tackles | 26 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: James Hill (AFC Bournemouth), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
Manchester United
- Mason Mount 7.7
- Andrey Santos 7.1
- Matheus Cunha 7.0
- Bryan Mbeumo 6.9
- Shea Lacey 6.7
AFC Bournemouth
- James Hill 8.7
- Marcus Tavernier 8.0 1 goal
- Evanilson 7.6 1 goal
- Rayan 7.4 1 goal
- António Silva 7.3
The lowest-rated starter was Senne Lammens at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Manchester United: Liverpool vs Manchester United Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League
- AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth
What was the score in Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Manchester United 0-3 AFC Bournemouth (half-time 0-2), Premier League, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?
Rayan 38', Marcus Tavernier 43', Evanilson 71'.
Did Moneyball predict Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.25. On 0-3 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?
James Hill, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?
J. Gillett.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.