Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Champions League Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October 2026 · Etihad Stadium, Manchester · referee W. Delajod · full time
Full time: Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens
Manchester City won 5-1 at home to AEK Athens in Champions League Matchday 3 on Tuesday 20 October 2026. The goals: Elliot Anderson 12', Phil Foden 34', Stavros Pilios 52', Rayan Cherki 57', Phil Foden 65', Phil Foden 76'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Manchester City won it
Manchester City struck first through Elliot Anderson in the 12th minute, set up by Enzo Fernández. Phil Foden made it 2-0 to Manchester City in the 34th minute, set up by Rico Lewis. Stavros Pilios made it 2-1 to AEK Athens in the 52nd minute, set up by Zini. Rayan Cherki made it 3-1 to Manchester City in the 57th minute, set up by Phil Foden. Phil Foden made it 4-1 to Manchester City in the 65th minute, set up by Rico Lewis. Phil Foden made it 5-1 to Manchester City in the 76th minute, set up by Ryan McAidoo.
It was 2-0 at half-time.
Phil Foden scored a hat-trick.
The referee, W. Delajod, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Manchester City and 0 to AEK Athens.
Manchester City: E. Maresca, 4-2-3-1 · AEK Athens: M. Nikolić, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was AEK Athens +2.75, and on 5-1 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Manchester City win at 86%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 3-0 (12%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.9 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 72%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 45%; both did, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Manchester City win at 85%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-20, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Manchester City had 7 shots on target, AEK Athens 3.
Manchester City had 64% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Manchester City came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 2.49 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.
AEK Athens came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.8 a match, with 1.43 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Manchester City vs AEK Athens: the match in numbers
| Manchester City | Match statistics | AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|
| 64% | Ball possession | 36% |
| 17 | Total shots | 11 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Big chances | 1 |
| 680 | Total passes | 386 |
| 94% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Tackles | 22 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Phil Foden (Manchester City), rated 9.9 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals, 1 assist.
Manchester City
- Phil Foden 9.9 3 goals, 1 assist
- Rico Lewis 8.3 2 assists
- Rayan Cherki 7.9 1 goal
- Elliot Anderson 7.6 1 goal
- Allan 7.3
AEK Athens
- Zini 7.1 1 assist
- Stavros Pilios 6.8 1 goal
- Aboubakary Koita 6.8
- Kervin Arriaga 6.7
- Mijat Gacinovic 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Alberto Brignoli at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Manchester City: Manchester City vs Fulham Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
- AEK Athens: Como vs AEK Athens Tuesday 24 November 2026 · Champions League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Manchester City vs AEK Athens
What was the score in Manchester City vs AEK Athens?
Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens (half-time 2-0), Champions League, Tuesday 20 October 2026.
Who scored in Manchester City vs AEK Athens?
Elliot Anderson 12', Phil Foden 34', Stavros Pilios 52', Rayan Cherki 57', Phil Foden 65', Phil Foden 76'.
Did Moneyball predict Manchester City vs AEK Athens correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was AEK Athens +2.75, and on 5-1 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Manchester City vs AEK Athens?
Phil Foden, rated 9.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Manchester City vs AEK Athens?
W. Delajod.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.