Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 9 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Anfield, Liverpool · referee A. Madley · full time
Full time: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal
Arsenal won 1-0 away at Liverpool in Premier League Matchday 9 on Sunday 1 November 2026. The goals: Kai Havertz 16'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Arsenal won it
Kai Havertz put Arsenal ahead in the 16th minute, set up by Declan Rice.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, A. Madley, showed 8 yellow cards: 4 to Liverpool and 4 to Arsenal.
Liverpool: A. Iraola, 4-2-3-1 · Arsenal: M. Arteta, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Arsenal 0.00, was right: 0-1 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was an Arsenal win at 39%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.7 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 50%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had an Arsenal win at 37%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.81 for Liverpool and 1.71 for Arsenal.
Liverpool had 0 shots on target, Arsenal 3.
Liverpool had 56% of the ball, but Arsenal took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Liverpool came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.80 expected goals for and 1.43 against, and had won 50% of their matches.
Arsenal came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 a match, with 1.73 expected goals for and 0.89 against, and had won 90% of their matches.
Liverpool vs Arsenal: the match in numbers
| Liverpool | Match statistics | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Ball possession | 44% |
| 0.81 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 17 | Total shots | 10 |
| 0 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 464 | Total passes | 372 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 72% |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 17 | Tackles | 24 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Ezri Konsa (Arsenal), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Liverpool
- Virgil van Dijk 7.1
- Milos Kerkez 7.1
- Alexis Mac Allister 7.1
- Alexander Isak 7.0
- Ronald Araujo 6.8
Arsenal
- Ezri Konsa 7.7
- Declan Rice 7.7 1 assist
- Gabriel 7.3
- Kai Havertz 7.3 1 goal
- Martin Ødegaard 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Alisson at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Liverpool: Liverpool vs Manchester United Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League
- Arsenal: Newcastle United vs Arsenal Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Liverpool vs Arsenal
What was the score in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal (half-time 0-1), Premier League, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Kai Havertz 16'.
Did Moneyball predict Liverpool vs Arsenal correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Arsenal 0.00, was right: 0-1 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Ezri Konsa, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Liverpool vs Arsenal?
A. Madley.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.