Lincoln Red Imps 1-0 Hajduk Split: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 3 · Thursday 5 November 2026 · Europa Point Stadium, Freiburg · referee P. Gryckiewicz · full time
Full time: Lincoln Red Imps 1-0 Hajduk Split
Lincoln Red Imps won 1-0 at home to Hajduk Split in Europa Conference League Matchday 3 on Thursday 5 November 2026. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Lincoln Red Imps won it
Lincoln Red Imps struck first through an own goal by Dennis Hadzikadunic in the 89th minute. A late goal, and the one that decided the result.
It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, P. Gryckiewicz, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Lincoln Red Imps and 4 to Hajduk Split.
Lincoln Red Imps: J. Pavón Domínguez, 5-3-2 · Hajduk Split: G. García García, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A miss for the model: 39% for a Hajduk Split win, 33% for a Lincoln Red Imps win, and football chose the second.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.6 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 48%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 53%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Lincoln Red Imps had 0 shots on target, Hajduk Split 1.
Hajduk Split had 66% of the ball, but Lincoln Red Imps took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Lincoln Red Imps came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 0.41 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.
Hajduk Split came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 0.81 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split: the match in numbers
| Lincoln Red Imps | Match statistics | Hajduk Split |
|---|---|---|
| 34% | Ball possession | 66% |
| 5 | Total shots | 15 |
| 0 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 0 | Big chances | 3 |
| 230 | Total passes | 448 |
| 61% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 6 | Offsides | 3 |
| 23 | Tackles | 20 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jaylan Hankins (Lincoln Red Imps), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.
Lincoln Red Imps
- Jaylan Hankins 7.5
- Mandi 7.2
- Bernardo Lopes 7.1
- Nano 6.8
- Christian Rutjens 6.8
Hajduk Split
- Marin Soticek 7.3
- Khalil Fayad 7.3
- Mathieu Acapandié 7.2
- Alec Van Hoorenbeeck 6.9
- Dalisson de Almeida 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Kike Gómez at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Lincoln Red Imps: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lincoln Red Imps Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Hajduk Split: Hajduk Split vs Sint-Truiden Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split
What was the score in Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?
Lincoln Red Imps 1-0 Hajduk Split (half-time 0-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 5 November 2026.
Who scored in Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?
Sportmonks did not list the scorers.
Did Moneyball predict Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split correctly?
A miss for the model: 39% for a Hajduk Split win, 33% for a Lincoln Red Imps win, and football chose the second.
Who was man of the match in Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?
Jaylan Hankins, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split?
P. Gryckiewicz.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.