Lincoln Red Imps 1-4 FC Twente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 2 · Thursday 22 October 2026 · Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar · referee M. Marcenaro · full time
Full time: Lincoln Red Imps 1-4 FC Twente
FC Twente beat Lincoln Red Imps 4-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 2 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Victoria Stadium. The goals: Thomas van den Belt 19', Wout Weghorst 24', Nano 38', Thomas van den Belt 57', Daouda Weidmann 90+3'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How FC Twente won it
Thomas van den Belt put FC Twente ahead in the 19th minute, set up by Wout Weghorst. Wout Weghorst made it 0-2 to FC Twente in the 24th minute, set up by Thomas van den Belt. Nano made it 1-2 to Lincoln Red Imps in the 38th minute. Thomas van den Belt made it 1-3 to FC Twente in the 57th minute, set up by Bart van Rooij. Daouda Weidmann made it 1-4 to FC Twente in the 90th minute (+3), set up by Daan Rots.
It was 1-2 at half-time.
Thomas van den Belt scored twice.
The referee, M. Marcenaro, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Lincoln Red Imps and 2 to FC Twente.
Lincoln Red Imps: J. Pavón Domínguez, 4-4-1-1 · FC Twente: J. van den Brom, 4-1-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A FC Twente win was the estimate's call at 55%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 1-4 the real one.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.9 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 54%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 55%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Lincoln Red Imps had 2 shots on target, FC Twente 8.
FC Twente had 71% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Lincoln Red Imps came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 0.41 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.
FC Twente came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 2.86 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.
Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente: the match in numbers
| Lincoln Red Imps | Match statistics | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|
| 29% | Ball possession | 71% |
| 5 | Total shots | 26 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 0 | Big chances | 7 |
| 279 | Total passes | 695 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 91% |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 13 | Tackles | 14 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Thomas van den Belt (FC Twente), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.
Lincoln Red Imps
- Nano 7.5 1 goal
- Toni García 6.8
- Álex Mula 6.6
- Manu Toledano 6.5
- Christian Rutjens 6.5
FC Twente
- Thomas van den Belt 9.1 2 goals, 1 assist
- Wout Weghorst 8.5 1 goal, 1 assist
- Daan Rots 7.9 1 assist
- Bart van Rooij 7.9 1 assist
- Daouda Weidmann 7.6 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Bernardo Lopes at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Lincoln Red Imps: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lincoln Red Imps Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- FC Twente: FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026 · Eredivisie
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente
What was the score in Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?
Lincoln Red Imps 1-4 FC Twente (half-time 1-2), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.
Who scored in Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?
Thomas van den Belt 19', Wout Weghorst 24', Nano 38', Thomas van den Belt 57', Daouda Weidmann 90+3'.
Did Moneyball predict Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente correctly?
A FC Twente win was the estimate's call at 55%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 1-4 the real one.
Who was man of the match in Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?
Thomas van den Belt, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?
M. Marcenaro.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.