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Lincoln Red Imps 1-4 FC Twente: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Lincoln Red Imps 1-4 FC Twente

FC Twente beat Lincoln Red Imps 4-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 2 on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Victoria Stadium. The goals: Thomas van den Belt 19', Wout Weghorst 24', Nano 38', Thomas van den Belt 57', Daouda Weidmann 90+3'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How FC Twente won it

Thomas van den Belt put FC Twente ahead in the 19th minute, set up by Wout Weghorst. Wout Weghorst made it 0-2 to FC Twente in the 24th minute, set up by Thomas van den Belt. Nano made it 1-2 to Lincoln Red Imps in the 38th minute. Thomas van den Belt made it 1-3 to FC Twente in the 57th minute, set up by Bart van Rooij. Daouda Weidmann made it 1-4 to FC Twente in the 90th minute (+3), set up by Daan Rots.

It was 1-2 at half-time.

Thomas van den Belt scored twice.

The referee, M. Marcenaro, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Lincoln Red Imps and 2 to FC Twente.

Lincoln Red Imps: J. Pavón Domínguez, 4-4-1-1 · FC Twente: J. van den Brom, 4-1-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A FC Twente win was the estimate's call at 55%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 1-4 the real one.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.9 goals and there were 5.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 54%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Lincoln Red Imps had 2 shots on target, FC Twente 8.

FC Twente had 71% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lincoln Red Imps came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 0.41 expected goals for and – against, and had won 33% of their matches.

FC Twente came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 2.86 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente: the match in numbers

Lincoln Red ImpsMatch statisticsFC Twente
29%Ball possession71%
5Total shots26
2Shots on target8
0Big chances7
279Total passes695
73%Pass accuracy91%
1Corners6
8Fouls17
0Offsides2
13Tackles14
4Saves1
0Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Thomas van den Belt (FC Twente), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.

Lincoln Red Imps

FC Twente

The lowest-rated starter was Bernardo Lopes at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente

What was the score in Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?

Lincoln Red Imps 1-4 FC Twente (half-time 1-2), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?

Thomas van den Belt 19', Wout Weghorst 24', Nano 38', Thomas van den Belt 57', Daouda Weidmann 90+3'.

Did Moneyball predict Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente correctly?

A FC Twente win was the estimate's call at 55%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 1-4 the real one.

Who was man of the match in Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?

Thomas van den Belt, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente?

M. Marcenaro.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.