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Levante 3-1 Athletic Club: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Levante 3-1 Athletic Club

Levante won 3-1 at home to Athletic Club in La Liga Matchday 6 on Wednesday 21 October 2026. The goals: Roger Brugué 20', Roger Brugué 22', Álex Berenguer 67', Karl Etta Eyong 90+8'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Levante won it

Roger Brugué put Levante ahead in the 20th minute, set up by Daniel Requena Sánchez. Roger Brugué made it 2-0 to Levante in the 22nd minute, set up by Daniel Requena Sánchez. Álex Berenguer from the penalty spot made it 2-1 to Athletic Club in the 67th minute. Karl Etta Eyong made it 3-1 to Levante in the 90th minute (+8).

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Roger Brugué scored twice.

Aymeric Laporte of Athletic Club was sent off in the 73rd minute. The referee, A. Quintero González, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Levante and 2 to Athletic Club.

Levante: L. Ferreira de Castro, 4-4-2 · Athletic Club: E. Terzic, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 3-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Athletic Club win at 45%; a Levante win, at 28%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.6 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 53%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Athletic Club win at 44%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-21, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.44 for Levante and 1.71 for Athletic Club.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Athletic Club to create more, and Levante did.

Levante had 7 shots on target, Athletic Club 4.

Athletic Club had 62% of the ball, but Levante took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Levante came into it with 12 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.21 expected goals for and 1.97 against, and had won 17% of their matches.

Athletic Club came into it with 11 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Levante vs Athletic Club: the match in numbers

LevanteMatch statisticsAthletic Club
38%Ball possession62%
2.44Expected goals (xG)1.71
12Total shots21
7Shots on target4
3Big chances1
330Total passes542
77%Pass accuracy84%
3Corners9
13Fouls12
15Tackles10
3Saves4
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Roger Brugué (Levante), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Levante

Athletic Club

The lowest-rated starter was J. Louis-Jean at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Levante vs Athletic Club

What was the score in Levante vs Athletic Club?

Levante 3-1 Athletic Club (half-time 2-0), La Liga, Wednesday 21 October 2026.

Who scored in Levante vs Athletic Club?

Roger Brugué 20', Roger Brugué 22', Álex Berenguer 67', Karl Etta Eyong 90+8'.

Did Moneyball predict Levante vs Athletic Club correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.50, and on 3-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Levante vs Athletic Club?

Roger Brugué, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Levante vs Athletic Club?

A. Quintero González.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.