Lens 1-2 Olympique Marseille: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Olympique Marseille won it

Amine Gouiri put Olympique Marseille ahead in the 2nd minute. Lens levelled at 1-1 in the 20th minute through Florian Thauvin, set up by Florian Sotoca. Keyliane Abdallah made it 1-2 to Olympique Marseille in the 82nd minute.

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, W. Delajod, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Lens and 2 to Olympique Marseille.

Lens: Y. Cahuzac, 3-4-2-1 · Olympique Marseille: B. Génésio, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 1-2 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Lens win at 39%; an Olympique Marseille win, at 36%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 64%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.02 for Lens and 1.19 for Olympique Marseille.

Lens scored about 1.0 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Lens created the better chances, 2.02 xG to 1.19, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Lens had 6 shots on target, Olympique Marseille 5.

Olympique Marseille's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Olympique Marseille had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lens came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 1.60 against, and had won 40% of their matches.

Olympique Marseille came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and 1.97 against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Lens vs Olympique Marseille: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Florian Sotoca (Lens), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Lens

• Florian Sotoca 8.0 1 assist
• Florian Thauvin 6.8 1 goal
• Amadou Haidara 6.8
• Samson Baidoo 6.8
• Matthieu Udol 6.7

Olympique Marseille

• Igor Paixão 7.8
• Jeffrey de Lange 7.5
• Amine Gouiri 7.5 1 goal
• Tochukwu Nnadi 7.3
• Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 7.2

The lowest-rated starter was Jonathan Gradit at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Lens: Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
• Olympique Marseille: Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lens vs Olympique Marseille

What was the score in Lens vs Olympique Marseille?

Lens 1-2 Olympique Marseille (half-time 1-1), Ligue 1, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Lens vs Olympique Marseille?

Amine Gouiri 2', Florian Thauvin 20', Keyliane Abdallah 82'.

Did Moneyball predict Lens vs Olympique Marseille correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.50, and on 1-2 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Lens vs Olympique Marseille?

Florian Sotoca, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lens vs Olympique Marseille?

W. Delajod.