Lecce 0-2 Juventus: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 8 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce · referee F. Maresca · full time
Full time: Lecce 0-2 Juventus
Lecce 0-2 Juventus: Juventus took the points in Serie A Matchday 8 on Sunday 25 October 2026 at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare. The goals: Weston McKennie 29', Douglas Luiz 41'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Juventus won it
Juventus struck first through Weston McKennie in the 29th minute, set up by Douglas Luiz. Douglas Luiz made it 0-2 to Juventus in the 41st minute, set up by Federico Gatti.
It was 0-2 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
Gaspar of Lecce was sent off in the 90th minute (+4). The referee, F. Maresca, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Lecce and 0 to Juventus.
Lecce: E. Di Francesco, 4-3-3 · Juventus: L. Spalletti, 3-1-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 0-2 it was right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Juventus win at 59%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 0-1 (13%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.5 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 46%; with 2 goals the under came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 46%; they did not both score, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.73 for Lecce and 1.06 for Juventus.
Lecce had 4 shots on target, Juventus 2.
Juventus had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Lecce came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 27% of their matches.
Juventus came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 0.92 against, and had won 45% of their matches.
Lecce vs Juventus: the match in numbers
| Lecce | Match statistics | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Ball possession | 58% |
| 0.73 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.06 |
| 16 | Total shots | 8 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 0 | Big chances | 1 |
| 331 | Total passes | 474 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 15 | Tackles | 20 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Douglas Luiz (Juventus), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Lecce
- Youssef Maleh 7.0
- Tiago Gabriel 6.9
- Willem Geubbels 6.8
- Gaspar 6.7
- Joël Monteiro 6.7
Juventus
- Douglas Luiz 8.5 1 goal, 1 assist
- Weston McKennie 7.4 1 goal
- Federico Gatti 7.4 1 assist
- Bremer 7.3
- Guglielmo Vicario 7.1
The lowest-rated starter was Wladimiro Falcone at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Lecce: Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
- Juventus: Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Lecce vs Juventus
What was the score in Lecce vs Juventus?
Lecce 0-2 Juventus (half-time 0-2), Serie A, Sunday 25 October 2026.
Who scored in Lecce vs Juventus?
Weston McKennie 29', Douglas Luiz 41'.
Did Moneyball predict Lecce vs Juventus correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 0-2 it was right.
Who was man of the match in Lecce vs Juventus?
Douglas Luiz, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Lecce vs Juventus?
F. Maresca.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.