Lecce 1-2 Genoa: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Genoa won it

Milutin Osmajic put Genoa ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Junior Messias. Junior Messias made it 0-2 to Genoa in the 28th minute, set up by Stephan El Shaarawy. Youssef Maleh made it 1-2 to Lecce in the 40th minute.

It was 1-2 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, M. Marchetti, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to Lecce and 1 to Genoa.

Lecce: E. Di Francesco, 4-3-3 · Genoa: D. De Rossi, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.00, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Genoa win at 38%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (14%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.1 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 34%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 42%; both did, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Genoa win at 38%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.50 for Lecce and 1.33 for Genoa.

Lecce had 7 shots on target, Genoa 3.

Genoa's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Lecce had 53% of the ball, but Genoa took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lecce came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.18 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Genoa came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Lecce vs Genoa: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Junior Messias (Genoa), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Lecce

• Antonino Gallo 7.5
• Youssef Maleh 7.1 1 goal
• Jamil Siebert 7.0
• Joël Monteiro 6.9
• Olaf Gorter 6.8

Genoa

• Junior Messias 9.1 1 goal, 1 assist
• Johan Vásquez 7.7
• Justin Bijlow 7.5
• Stephan El Shaarawy 7.4 1 assist
• Milutin Osmajic 7.0 1 goal

The lowest-rated starter was Konan N’Dri at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Lecce: Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
• Genoa: Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lecce vs Genoa

What was the score in Lecce vs Genoa?

Lecce 1-2 Genoa (half-time 1-2), Serie A, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Lecce vs Genoa?

Milutin Osmajic 11', Junior Messias 28', Youssef Maleh 40'.

Did Moneyball predict Lecce vs Genoa correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.00, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Lecce vs Genoa?

Junior Messias, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lecce vs Genoa?

M. Marchetti.