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Le Havre 1-5 Paris Saint Germain: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Le Havre 1-5 Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain won 5-1 away at Le Havre in Ligue 1 Matchday 9 on Friday 30 October 2026. The goals: Josh Maja 18', Mika Godts 26', Achraf Hakimi 28', Achraf Hakimi 55', Senny Mayulu 62', Achraf Hakimi 69'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Paris Saint Germain won it

The opening goal came in the 18th minute: Josh Maja for Le Havre, set up by Rayan Fofana. Paris Saint Germain levelled at 1-1 in the 26th minute through Mika Godts, set up by Achraf Hakimi. Paris Saint Germain turned it round: Achraf Hakimi made it 1-2 in the 28th minute, set up by Senny Mayulu. Achraf Hakimi made it 1-3 to Paris Saint Germain in the 55th minute. Senny Mayulu made it 1-4 to Paris Saint Germain in the 62nd minute, set up by Achraf Hakimi. Achraf Hakimi made it 1-5 to Paris Saint Germain in the 69th minute, set up by Mika Godts.

It was 1-2 at half-time.

Achraf Hakimi scored a hat-trick.

The lead changed hands once.

Le Havre: D. Digard, 3-4-2-1 · Paris Saint Germain: L. Martínez García, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Paris Saint Germain -2.00, and on 1-5 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Paris Saint Germain win at 73%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 0-2 (10%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.6 goals and there were 6.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-30, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.19 for Le Havre and 1.43 for Paris Saint Germain.

Le Havre scored about 1.2 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Paris Saint Germain made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.6 goals.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Paris Saint Germain to create more, and Le Havre did.

Le Havre had 5 shots on target, Paris Saint Germain 10.

Le Havre's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Paris Saint Germain had 71% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Le Havre came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.56 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Paris Saint Germain came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.28 expected goals for and 1.15 against, and had won 70% of their matches.

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: the match in numbers

Le HavreMatch statisticsParis Saint Germain
29%Ball possession71%
2.19Expected goals (xG)1.43
14Total shots15
5Shots on target10
3Big chances6
302Total passes777
80%Pass accuracy91%
5Corners3
14Fouls11
3Offsides1
27Tackles15
5Saves4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Achraf Hakimi (Paris Saint Germain), rated 10.0 by Sportmonks, with 3 goals, 2 assists.

Le Havre

Paris Saint Germain

The lowest-rated starter was Simon Ebonog at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain

What was the score in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

Le Havre 1-5 Paris Saint Germain (half-time 1-2), Ligue 1, Friday 30 October 2026.

Who scored in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

Josh Maja 18', Mika Godts 26', Achraf Hakimi 28', Achraf Hakimi 55', Senny Mayulu 62', Achraf Hakimi 69'.

Did Moneyball predict Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Paris Saint Germain -2.00, and on 1-5 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

Achraf Hakimi, rated 10.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

F. Letexier.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.