Le Havre 1-3 Auxerre: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 7 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · Stade Océane, Le Havre · referee E. Wattellier · full time
Full time: Le Havre 1-3 Auxerre
Auxerre beat Le Havre 3-1 in Ligue 1 Matchday 7 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Stade Océane. The goals: Danny Namaso 40', Danny Namaso 61', Rayan Fofana 66', Romain Faivre 80'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Auxerre won it
Danny Namaso put Auxerre ahead in the 40th minute, set up by Kévin Danois. Danny Namaso made it 0-2 to Auxerre in the 61st minute, set up by Romain Faivre. Rayan Fofana made it 1-2 to Le Havre in the 66th minute, set up by Hakim Dongopandji. Romain Faivre made it 1-3 to Auxerre in the 80th minute, set up by Danny Namaso.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
Danny Namaso scored twice.
The referee, E. Wattellier, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Le Havre and 2 to Auxerre.
Le Havre: D. Digard, 4-3-3 · Auxerre: W. Still, 3-4-2-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Auxerre +0.50, was right: 1-3 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Le Havre win at 43%; an Auxerre win, at 30%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 57%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Le Havre win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.68 for Le Havre and 1.65 for Auxerre.
Auxerre made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.3 goals.
Le Havre had 6 shots on target, Auxerre 6.
Auxerre's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Le Havre had 52% of the ball, but Auxerre took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Le Havre came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.56 against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Auxerre came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.4 a match, with 1.13 expected goals for and 1.85 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Le Havre vs Auxerre: the match in numbers
| Le Havre | Match statistics | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Ball possession | 48% |
| 1.68 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.65 |
| 15 | Total shots | 13 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 4 | Big chances | 2 |
| 417 | Total passes | 407 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 29 | Tackles | 16 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Danny Namaso (Auxerre), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals, 1 assist.
Le Havre
- Rayan Fofana 7.3 1 goal
- Amir Richardson 7.1
- Junior Mwanga 7.1
- Sota Nakamura 7.0
- Hakim Dongopandji 7.0 1 assist
Auxerre
- Danny Namaso 9.0 2 goals, 1 assist
- Romain Faivre 9.0 1 goal, 1 assist
- Paul Nardi 7.8
- Kévin Danois 7.5 1 assist
- Axel Tuanzebe 7.3
The lowest-rated starter was Josh Maja at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Le Havre: Troyes vs Le Havre Friday 20 November 2026 · Ligue 1
- Auxerre: Monaco vs Auxerre Saturday 21 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Le Havre vs Auxerre
What was the score in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Le Havre 1-3 Auxerre (half-time 0-1), Ligue 1, Sunday 18 October 2026.
Who scored in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Danny Namaso 40', Danny Namaso 61', Rayan Fofana 66', Romain Faivre 80'.
Did Moneyball predict Le Havre vs Auxerre correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Auxerre +0.50, was right: 1-3 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Danny Namaso, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Le Havre vs Auxerre?
E. Wattellier.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.