Lazio 2-1 Parma: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Lazio won it

Kenneth Taylor put Lazio ahead in the 50th minute. An own goal by Diego Carlos made it 2-0 to Lazio in the 58th minute. Simone Lontani made it 2-1 to Parma in the 90th minute (+5), set up by Giovanni Fabbian.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, A. Arena, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Lazio and 1 to Parma.

Lazio: I. Gattuso, 4-3-3 · Parma: A. Gilardino, 5-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Lazio Win, and on 2-1 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Lazio win at 59%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-0 (12%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 48%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-24, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.80 for Lazio and 1.89 for Parma.

Lazio scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Parma created the better chances, 1.89 xG to 0.80, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Lazio to create more, and Parma did.

Lazio had 5 shots on target, Parma 4.

Lazio had 68% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lazio came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.29 against, and had won 82% of their matches.

Parma came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 0.94 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Lazio vs Parma: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Kenneth Taylor (Lazio), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Lazio

• Kenneth Taylor 7.8 1 goal
• Mattia Zaccagni 7.7
• Gustav Isaksen 7.7
• Nuno Tavares 7.5
• Reda Belahyane 7.3

Parma

• Simone Lontani 7.3 1 goal
• Mandela Keita 6.9
• El Bilal Touré 6.8
• Enrico Delprato 6.8
• Giovanni Fabbian 6.8 1 assist

The lowest-rated starter was Diego Carlos at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Lazio: Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
• Parma: Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lazio vs Parma

What was the score in Lazio vs Parma?

Lazio 2-1 Parma (half-time 0-0), Serie A, Saturday 24 October 2026.

Who scored in Lazio vs Parma?

Kenneth Taylor 50', Simone Lontani 90+5'.

Did Moneyball predict Lazio vs Parma correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Lazio Win, and on 2-1 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Lazio vs Parma?

Kenneth Taylor, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lazio vs Parma?

A. Arena.