Lazio 3-1 Monza: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Lazio won it

Lazio struck first through Nuno Tavares in the 3rd minute, set up by Tijjani Noslin. Gustav Isaksen made it 2-0 to Lazio in the 23rd minute, set up by Tijjani Noslin. Saba Goglichidze made it 2-1 to Monza in the 46th minute, set up by Dany Mota. Andrea Pinamonti made it 3-1 to Lazio in the 88th minute, set up by Alfonso Pedraza.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Lorenzo Lucchesi of Monza was sent off in the 35th minute. The referee, G. Collu, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Lazio and 2 to Monza.

Lazio: I. Gattuso, 4-3-3 · Monza: I. Juric, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 53% for a Lazio win before the match. The scoreline, 3-1, was not the estimate's first choice (1-1).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 60%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Lazio win at 53%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.28 for Lazio and 1.70 for Monza.

Lazio scored about 1.7 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Lazio to create more, and Monza did.

Lazio had 7 shots on target, Monza 6.

Lazio's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Lazio had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lazio came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.29 against, and had won 82% of their matches.

Monza came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.51 expected goals for and 1.55 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Lazio vs Monza: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Dany Mota (Monza), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Lazio

• Tijjani Noslin 7.9 2 assists
• Nuno Tavares 7.7 1 goal
• Christos Mandas 7.4
• Andrea Pinamonti 7.4 1 goal
• Reda Belahyane 7.3

Monza

• Dany Mota 8.2 1 assist
• Saba Goglichidze 7.3 1 goal
• Samuele Birindelli 7.0
• Ebenezer Akinsanmiro 6.9
• Gustavo Varela 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Lorenzo Lucchesi at 5.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Lazio: Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
• Monza: Monza vs Fiorentina Monday 23 November 2026 · Serie A

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lazio vs Monza

What was the score in Lazio vs Monza?

Lazio 3-1 Monza (half-time 2-0), Serie A, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Lazio vs Monza?

Nuno Tavares 3', Gustav Isaksen 23', Saba Goglichidze 46', Andrea Pinamonti 88'.

Did Moneyball predict Lazio vs Monza correctly?

A correct call on the result: 53% for a Lazio win before the match. The scoreline, 3-1, was not the estimate's first choice (1-1).

Who was man of the match in Lazio vs Monza?

Dany Mota, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lazio vs Monza?

G. Collu.