KuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Europa Conference League Matchday 1 · Thursday 15 October 2026 · Tammelan Stadion · referee I. Barbara · full time
Full time: KuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor beat KuPS 4-2 in Europa Conference League Matchday 1 on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Tammelan Stadion. The goals: Paul Onuachu 3', Mohamed Salah 44', Franculino 47', Petteri Pennanen 54', Franculino 90+1', Gustav Engvall 90+6'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Trabzonspor won it
The opening goal came in the 3rd minute: Paul Onuachu for Trabzonspor, set up by Mohamed Salah. Mohamed Salah made it 0-2 to Trabzonspor in the 44th minute. Franculino made it 0-3 to Trabzonspor in the 47th minute. Petteri Pennanen made it 1-3 to KuPS in the 54th minute. Franculino made it 1-4 to Trabzonspor in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Ernest Muci. Gustav Engvall made it 2-4 to KuPS in the 90th minute (+6).
It was 0-2 at half-time.
Franculino scored twice.
The referee, I. Barbara, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to KuPS and 2 to Trabzonspor. Piotr Parzyszek missed a penalty for KuPS in the 59 minute.
KuPS: M. Nuutinen, 4-2-3-1 · Trabzonspor: T. Reis, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a KuPS win the likeliest outcome (52%), and a Trabzonspor win, at 22%, is what happened. At 22%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.7 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 50%; with 6 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 52%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
KuPS had 8 shots on target, Trabzonspor 8.
Trabzonspor's goalkeeper made 6 saves.
Trabzonspor had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
KuPS came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 0.80 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.
Trabzonspor came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 2.12 expected goals for and – against, and had won 67% of their matches.
KuPS vs Trabzonspor: the match in numbers
| KuPS | Match statistics | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Ball possession | 54% |
| 16 | Total shots | 22 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 5 | Big chances | 6 |
| 368 | Total passes | 457 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 17 | Tackles | 19 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Mohamed Salah (Trabzonspor), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
KuPS
- Petteri Pennanen 7.4 1 goal
- Gustav Engvall 7.1 1 goal
- Tommi Jyry 6.9
- Arttu Lötjönen 6.8
- Jaime Moreno 6.7
Trabzonspor
- Mohamed Salah 8.7 1 goal, 1 assist
- Franculino 8.3 2 goals
- André Onana 7.5
- Paul Onuachu 7.2 1 goal
- Melih Kabasakal 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Piotr Parzyszek at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- KuPS: Sporting Braga vs KuPS Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
- Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Sunday 22 November 2026 · Süper Lig
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about KuPS vs Trabzonspor
What was the score in KuPS vs Trabzonspor?
KuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor (half-time 0-2), Europa Conference League, Thursday 15 October 2026.
Who scored in KuPS vs Trabzonspor?
Paul Onuachu 3', Mohamed Salah 44', Franculino 47', Petteri Pennanen 54', Franculino 90+1', Gustav Engvall 90+6'.
Did Moneyball predict KuPS vs Trabzonspor correctly?
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a KuPS win the likeliest outcome (52%), and a Trabzonspor win, at 22%, is what happened. At 22%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.
Who was man of the match in KuPS vs Trabzonspor?
Mohamed Salah, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed KuPS vs Trabzonspor?
I. Barbara.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.