Krylya Sovetov 0-3 Zenit: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Russian Premier League Matchday 13 · Monday 2 November 2026 · Samara Arena, Samara · referee E. Kukulyak · full time
Full time: Krylya Sovetov 0-3 Zenit
Zenit won 3-0 away at Krylya Sovetov in Russian Premier League Matchday 13 on Monday 2 November 2026. The goals: Aleksandr Sobolev 26', Aleksandr Sobolev 67', Artem Karpukas 73'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Zenit won it
Aleksandr Sobolev put Zenit ahead in the 26th minute from the penalty spot. Aleksandr Sobolev made it 0-2 to Zenit in the 67th minute, set up by Maksim Glushenkov. Artem Karpukas made it 0-3 to Zenit in the 73rd minute, set up by Maksim Glushenkov.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
Aleksandr Sobolev scored twice.
The referee, E. Kukulyak, showed 7 yellow cards: 5 to Krylya Sovetov and 2 to Zenit. Aleksandr Sobolev missed a penalty for Zenit in the 21 minute.
Krylya Sovetov: S. Bulatov, 4-1-4-1 · Zenit: S. Semak, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call on the result: 44% for a Zenit win before the match. The scoreline, 0-3, was not the estimate's first choice (1-2).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 61%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.85 for Krylya Sovetov and 0.58 for Zenit.
Krylya Sovetov scored about 2.8 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Zenit made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.4 goals.
Krylya Sovetov created the better chances, 2.85 xG to 0.58, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Zenit to create more, and Krylya Sovetov did.
Krylya Sovetov had 1 shot on target, Zenit 6.
Zenit had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Krylya Sovetov came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.56 expected goals for and 1.27 against, and had won 29% of their matches.
Zenit came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.03 against, and had won 71% of their matches.
Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit: the match in numbers
| Krylya Sovetov | Match statistics | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Ball possession | 55% |
| 2.85 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.58 |
| 8 | Total shots | 14 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 0 | Big chances | 3 |
| 402 | Total passes | 509 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 20 | Tackles | 22 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Maksim Glushenkov (Zenit), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.
Krylya Sovetov
- Yuriy Gorshkov 7.0
- Nikita Kokarev 6.9
- Ilzat Akhmetov 6.7
- Sergey Bozhin 6.6
- Kirill Stolbov 6.6
Zenit
- Maksim Glushenkov 8.3 2 assists
- Aleksandr Sobolev 7.9 2 goals
- Artem Karpukas 7.6 1 goal
- Nino 7.5
- Luiz Henrique 7.2
The lowest-rated starter was Nikita Chernov at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Krylya Sovetov: Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov Friday 20 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
- Zenit: Rubin Kazan vs Zenit Saturday 21 November 2026 · Russian Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit
What was the score in Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?
Krylya Sovetov 0-3 Zenit (half-time 0-1), Russian Premier League, Monday 2 November 2026.
Who scored in Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?
Aleksandr Sobolev 26', Aleksandr Sobolev 67', Artem Karpukas 73'.
Did Moneyball predict Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit correctly?
A correct call on the result: 44% for a Zenit win before the match. The scoreline, 0-3, was not the estimate's first choice (1-2).
Who was man of the match in Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?
Maksim Glushenkov, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?
E. Kukulyak.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.