MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Krylya Sovetov 0-3 Zenit: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Krylya Sovetov 0-3 Zenit

Zenit won 3-0 away at Krylya Sovetov in Russian Premier League Matchday 13 on Monday 2 November 2026. The goals: Aleksandr Sobolev 26', Aleksandr Sobolev 67', Artem Karpukas 73'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Zenit won it

Aleksandr Sobolev put Zenit ahead in the 26th minute from the penalty spot. Aleksandr Sobolev made it 0-2 to Zenit in the 67th minute, set up by Maksim Glushenkov. Artem Karpukas made it 0-3 to Zenit in the 73rd minute, set up by Maksim Glushenkov.

It was 0-1 at half-time.

Aleksandr Sobolev scored twice.

The referee, E. Kukulyak, showed 7 yellow cards: 5 to Krylya Sovetov and 2 to Zenit. Aleksandr Sobolev missed a penalty for Zenit in the 21 minute.

Krylya Sovetov: S. Bulatov, 4-1-4-1 · Zenit: S. Semak, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call on the result: 44% for a Zenit win before the match. The scoreline, 0-3, was not the estimate's first choice (1-2).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 58%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 61%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.85 for Krylya Sovetov and 0.58 for Zenit.

Krylya Sovetov scored about 2.8 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Zenit made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 2.4 goals.

Krylya Sovetov created the better chances, 2.85 xG to 0.58, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Zenit to create more, and Krylya Sovetov did.

Krylya Sovetov had 1 shot on target, Zenit 6.

Zenit had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Krylya Sovetov came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.56 expected goals for and 1.27 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Zenit came into it with 14 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.87 expected goals for and 1.03 against, and had won 71% of their matches.

Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit: the match in numbers

Krylya SovetovMatch statisticsZenit
45%Ball possession55%
2.85Expected goals (xG)0.58
8Total shots14
1Shots on target6
0Big chances3
402Total passes509
82%Pass accuracy83%
4Corners6
20Fouls10
1Offsides2
20Tackles22
3Saves1
4Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Maksim Glushenkov (Zenit), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 2 assists.

Krylya Sovetov

Zenit

The lowest-rated starter was Nikita Chernov at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit

What was the score in Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?

Krylya Sovetov 0-3 Zenit (half-time 0-1), Russian Premier League, Monday 2 November 2026.

Who scored in Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?

Aleksandr Sobolev 26', Aleksandr Sobolev 67', Artem Karpukas 73'.

Did Moneyball predict Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit correctly?

A correct call on the result: 44% for a Zenit win before the match. The scoreline, 0-3, was not the estimate's first choice (1-2).

Who was man of the match in Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?

Maksim Glushenkov, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?

E. Kukulyak.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.