Kasımpaşa 2-2 Beşiktaş: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Süper Lig Matchday 10 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul · referee R. Coşkunses · full time
Full time: Kasımpaşa 2-2 Beşiktaş
Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş drew 2-2 in Süper Lig Matchday 10 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. The goals: Leandro Trossard 28', Dušan Vlahović 47', Cláudio Winck 60', Marcus Rafferty 87'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
Beşiktaş struck first through Leandro Trossard in the 28th minute, set up by Rıdvan Yılmaz. Dušan Vlahović made it 0-2 to Beşiktaş in the 47th minute, set up by Amir Murillo. Cláudio Winck made it 1-2 to Kasımpaşa in the 60th minute, set up by Haris Hajradinovic. Kasımpaşa levelled at 2-2 in the 87th minute through Marcus Rafferty, set up by Kerem Demirbay. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.
Beşiktaş led by two and were pegged back: Kasımpaşa came back for a draw.
It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, R. Coşkunses, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Kasımpaşa and 2 to Beşiktaş.
Kasımpaşa: E. Belözoğlu, 4-1-4-1 · Beşiktaş: V. Italiano, 4-1-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 2-2 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Beşiktaş win at 55%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 4 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 55%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Beşiktaş win at 59%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.19 for Kasımpaşa and 1.30 for Beşiktaş.
Kasımpaşa had 6 shots on target, Beşiktaş 4.
Beşiktaş had 58% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Kasımpaşa came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.23 expected goals for and 1.21 against, and had won 45% of their matches.
Beşiktaş came into it with 11 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.89 expected goals for and 0.83 against, and had won 64% of their matches.
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş: the match in numbers
| Kasımpaşa | Match statistics | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Ball possession | 58% |
| 1.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.30 |
| 16 | Total shots | 8 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Big chances | 4 |
| 350 | Total passes | 502 |
| 73% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Tackles | 12 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Kerem Demirbay (Kasımpaşa), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.
Kasımpaşa
- Kerem Demirbay 8.0 1 assist
- Haris Hajradinovic 7.8 1 assist
- Marcus Rafferty 7.4 1 goal
- Cláudio Winck 7.1 1 goal
- Güven Yalçın 6.8
Beşiktaş
- Leandro Trossard 7.4 1 goal
- Dušan Vlahović 7.4 1 goal
- Amir Murillo 7.1 1 assist
- Rıdvan Yılmaz 7.0 1 assist
- Alexander Nübel 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Adem Arous at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Kasımpaşa: Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Sunday 22 November 2026 · Süper Lig
- Beşiktaş: Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş Sunday 22 November 2026 · Süper Lig
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş
What was the score in Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
Kasımpaşa 2-2 Beşiktaş (half-time 0-1), Süper Lig, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
Leandro Trossard 28', Dušan Vlahović 47', Cláudio Winck 60', Marcus Rafferty 87'.
Did Moneyball predict Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 2-2 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
Kerem Demirbay, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
R. Coşkunses.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.