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Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Prediction and Stats | Süper Lig Gameweek 12

Kasımpaşa welcome Alanyaspor to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.

Kasımpaşa have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 45% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 20% win rate. Alanyaspor have played 11 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate.

On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Kasımpaşa are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 25% and Alanyaspor at 17%.

Moneyball's estimate

Kasımpaşa58%home win
Draw25%draw
Alanyaspor17%away win

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.

Kasımpaşa: form and key numbers

In style Kasımpaşa are happy without the ball, play long and direct.

Alanyaspor: form and key numbers

In style Alanyaspor are happy without the ball, play long and direct.

Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor: season averages side by side

KasımpaşaPer match this seasonAlanyaspor
11Matches11
1.6Goals scored0.8
1.0Goals conceded1.6
1.23Expected goals (xG)1.12
1.21xG conceded1.80
12.7Shots11.6
4.3On target3.4
42.4Possession %44.5
36%Clean sheets %27%
64%Both teams scored %45%
4.0Corners4.8
2.5Yellow cards1.6
6.84Average rating6.75

Players to watch

Kasımpaşa

Alanyaspor

Scouting spotlight: Florent Hadergjonaj

Florent Hadergjonaj, 32 · Alanyaspor · RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 43

Florent Hadergjonaj, 32, plays as a wide midfielder for Alanyaspor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Accurate crosses 95Key passes 95Expected assists 95Successful dribbles 0Tackles 0Interceptions 5Expected goals 0Duels won 0Dispossessed 95

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wide midfielder, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 43
  • RB · Full-back Natural, 41
  • RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 40

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Accurate crosses2.73 / 9095%
Key passes3.27 / 9095%
Expected assists (est.)0.39 / 9095%
Dispossessed0.27 / 9095%
Interceptions0.36 / 905%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
  • ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
  • ★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back

Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Creator.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Florent Hadergjonaj is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Florent Hadergjonaj's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor prediction

Alanyaspor should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.73 for Kasımpaşa and 0.81 for Alanyaspor - with over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 46%. Kasımpaşa have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: Kasımpaşa 2-1 Alanyaspor

Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor: what the numbers say

  1. 1. Kasımpaşa win, the likeliest result 58% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
  2. 2. 2 goals or fewer 53% by the model, 2.54 goals expected
  3. 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.1 cards a match between them
  4. 4. 9 or more corners 8.8 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.

The full analysis

Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.

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Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor: questions and answers

When is Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor?

Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 12.

Where is Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor played?

At Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul, Kasımpaşa's home ground.

Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor?

Kasımpaşa are the favourites: Kasımpaşa 58%, draw 25%, Alanyaspor 17%. Our prediction is Kasımpaşa 2-1 Alanyaspor.

Who is the player to watch in Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor?

Florent Hadergjonaj of Alanyaspor: a wide playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 43 against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor?

Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.