Juventus 0-3 Lazio: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 7 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · Juventus Stadium, Torino · referee D. Massa · full time
Full time: Juventus 0-3 Lazio
Lazio beat Juventus 3-0 in Serie A Matchday 7 on Sunday 18 October 2026 at Juventus Stadium. The goals: Oliver Provstgaard 37', Gustav Isaksen 66', Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 89'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Lazio won it
The opening goal came in the 37th minute: Oliver Provstgaard for Lazio, set up by Mattia Zaccagni. Gustav Isaksen made it 0-2 to Lazio in the 66th minute, set up by Nuno Tavares. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru made it 0-3 to Lazio in the 89th minute, set up by Andrea Pinamonti.
It was 0-1 at half-time.
The referee, D. Massa, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Juventus and 2 to Lazio.
Juventus: Marco Domenichini, 4-2-3-1 · Lazio: I. Gattuso, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Lazio +0.75, and 0-3 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Juventus win at 51%; a Lazio win, at 23%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.6 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 47%; with 3 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 50%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Juventus win at 56%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.56 for Juventus and 1.25 for Lazio.
Lazio made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.8 goals.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Juventus to create more, and Lazio did.
Juventus had 2 shots on target, Lazio 3.
Juventus had 58% of the ball, but Lazio took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Juventus came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 0.92 against, and had won 45% of their matches.
Lazio came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.29 against, and had won 82% of their matches.
Juventus vs Lazio: the match in numbers
| Juventus | Match statistics | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Ball possession | 42% |
| 0.56 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.25 |
| 9 | Total shots | 9 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 0 | Big chances | 2 |
| 525 | Total passes | 383 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 25 | Tackles | 12 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Oliver Provstgaard (Lazio), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Juventus
- Douglas Luiz 7.2
- Randal Kolo Muani 7.0
- Francisco Conceição 6.9
- Pierre Kalulu 6.9
- Pape Matar Sarr 6.9
Lazio
- Oliver Provstgaard 7.9 1 goal
- Nuno Tavares 7.3 1 assist
- Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 7.3 1 goal
- Josip Sutalo 7.2
- Andrea Pinamonti 7.2 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Guglielmo Vicario at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Juventus: Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
- Lazio: Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Juventus vs Lazio
What was the score in Juventus vs Lazio?
Juventus 0-3 Lazio (half-time 0-1), Serie A, Sunday 18 October 2026.
Who scored in Juventus vs Lazio?
Oliver Provstgaard 37', Gustav Isaksen 66', Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 89'.
Did Moneyball predict Juventus vs Lazio correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Lazio +0.75, and 0-3 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Juventus vs Lazio?
Oliver Provstgaard, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Juventus vs Lazio?
D. Massa.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.