Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1 Ararat-Armenia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Jagiellonia Białystok won it

Zidane Banjaqui put Ararat-Armenia ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Maxence Carlier. Jagiellonia Białystok levelled at 1-1 in the 13th minute through Kamil Jóźwiak, set up by Jesús Imaz. Jagiellonia Białystok turned it round: Rodrigo Conceição made it 2-1 in the 38th minute, set up by A. Klynge. Ousmane Sow made it 3-1 to Jagiellonia Białystok in the 51st minute, set up by Jesús Imaz.

It was 2-1 at half-time.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, A. Papapetrou, showed 6 yellow cards: 3 to Jagiellonia Białystok and 3 to Ararat-Armenia.

Jagiellonia Białystok: A. Siemieniec, 4-4-2 · Ararat-Armenia: M. da Silva Cruz, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A Jagiellonia Białystok win was the estimate's call at 52%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 3-1 the real one.

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.5 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 44%; with 4 goals the over came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 47%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Jagiellonia Białystok had 5 shots on target, Ararat-Armenia 4.

Ararat-Armenia had 57% of the ball, but Jagiellonia Białystok took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Jagiellonia Białystok came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 0.61 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Ararat-Armenia came into it with 4 Europa League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.5 a match, with 0.94 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Rodrigo Conceição (Jagiellonia Białystok), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Jagiellonia Białystok

• Rodrigo Conceição 8.2 1 goal
• Jesús Imaz 7.9 2 assists
• A. Klynge 7.5 1 assist
• Kamil Jóźwiak 7.0 1 goal
• Kajetan Szmyt 6.9

Ararat-Armenia

• Zhirayr Shaghoyan 7.7
• Zidane Banjaqui 7.2 1 goal
• Maxence Carlier 7.0 1 assist
• Balanta Jr. 6.8
• Bernardo Dias 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Luis Felipe at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Jagiellonia Białystok: Sunderland vs Jagiellonia Białystok Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League
• Ararat-Armenia: Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia

What was the score in Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia?

Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1 Ararat-Armenia (half-time 2-1), Europa League, Thursday 15 October 2026.

Who scored in Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia?

Zidane Banjaqui 11', Kamil Jóźwiak 13', Rodrigo Conceição 38', Ousmane Sow 51'.

Did Moneyball predict Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia correctly?

A Jagiellonia Białystok win was the estimate's call at 52%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 1-1 was the likeliest, 3-1 the real one.

Who was man of the match in Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia?

Rodrigo Conceição, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia?

A. Papapetrou.