Inter 2-0 Como: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 11 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano · referee D. Chiffi · full time
Full time: Inter 2-0 Como
Inter beat Como 2-0 in Serie A Matchday 11 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The goals: Pio Esposito 12', Marcus Thuram 19'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Inter won it
Pio Esposito put Inter ahead in the 12th minute, set up by Djed Spence. Marcus Thuram made it 2-0 to Inter in the 19th minute.
It was 2-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, D. Chiffi, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Inter and 0 to Como.
Inter: C. Chivu, 3-5-2 · Como: F. Fàbregas i Soler, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75, and on 2-0 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was an Inter win at 52%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced two.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 63%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.26 for Inter and 1.90 for Como.
Inter scored about 1.7 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Como left about 1.9 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Como created the better chances, 1.90 xG to 0.26, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Inter to create more, and Como did.
Inter had 4 shots on target, Como 1.
Como had 57% of the ball, but Inter took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Inter came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 2.62 expected goals for and 0.92 against, and had won 82% of their matches.
Como came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.33 against, and had won 64% of their matches.
Inter vs Como: the match in numbers
| Inter | Match statistics | Como |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Ball possession | 57% |
| 0.26 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.90 |
| 14 | Total shots | 5 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Big chances | 0 |
| 499 | Total passes | 652 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 91% |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 8 | Offsides | 3 |
| 13 | Tackles | 13 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Marcus Thuram (Inter), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Inter
- Marcus Thuram 7.8 1 goal
- Pio Esposito 7.7 1 goal
- Djed Spence 7.5 1 assist
- Carlos Augusto 7.5
- Nicolò Barella 7.3
Como
- Luis Milla 7.1
- Nico Paz 7.0
- Ivan Smolcic 6.9
- Samuele Ricci 6.9
- Marc Oliver Kempf 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Martin Baturina at 6.4. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Inter: Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
- Como: Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Inter vs Como
What was the score in Inter vs Como?
Inter 2-0 Como (half-time 2-0), Serie A, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in Inter vs Como?
Pio Esposito 12', Marcus Thuram 19'.
Did Moneyball predict Inter vs Como correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75, and on 2-0 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Inter vs Como?
Marcus Thuram, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Inter vs Como?
D. Chiffi.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.