Inter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Inter won it

Carlos Augusto put Inter ahead in the 77th minute, set up by Henrikh Mkhitaryan.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Alessandro Bastoni of Inter was sent off in the 68th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, H. Osmers, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Inter and 2 to Shakhtar Donetsk.

Inter: C. Chivu, 3-5-2 · Shakhtar Donetsk: A. Turan, 4-1-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50, and on the half-time score, 0-0 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was an Inter win at 78%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (10%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.8 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 71%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Inter win at 75%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-21, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Inter had 5 shots on target, Shakhtar Donetsk 4.

Shakhtar Donetsk had 55% of the ball, but Inter took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Inter came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 2.19 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Shakhtar Donetsk came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Josep Martínez (Inter), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Inter

• Josep Martínez 7.5
• Carlos Augusto 7.5 1 goal
• Henrikh Mkhitaryan 7.5 1 assist
• Nicolò Barella 7.4
• Manuel Akanji 7.4

Shakhtar Donetsk

• Dmytro Riznyk 7.1
• Vinícius Tobias 7.1
• Yegor Nazaryna 7.1
• Mykola Matvienko 7.0
• Valeriy Bondar 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Kauã Elias at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Inter: Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
• Shakhtar Donetsk: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe Wednesday 25 November 2026 · Champions League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk

What was the score in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Inter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk (half-time 0-0), Champions League, Wednesday 21 October 2026.

Who scored in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Carlos Augusto 77'.

Did Moneyball predict Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was HT Under 1.50, and on the half-time score, 0-0 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Josep Martínez, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

H. Osmers.