Inter Miami 2-2 Cincinnati: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Luis Suárez put Inter Miami ahead in the 61st minute, set up by Casemiro. Cincinnati levelled at 1-1 in the 80th minute through Kenji Mboma Dem, set up by Evander. Cincinnati turned it round: Samuel Gidi made it 1-2 in the 86th minute, set up by Tom Barlow. Inter Miami levelled at 2-2 in the 90th minute through Riquelme Fillipi, set up by Rodrigo De Paul. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, A. Villarreal, showed 3 yellow cards: 3 to Inter Miami and 0 to Cincinnati.

Inter Miami: C. González Peret, 4-3-3 · Cincinnati: P. Noonan, 3-5-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 4.00. On 2-2 it landed exactly on the line: neither right nor wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Inter Miami win at 59%; a draw, at 19%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (8%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 4.1 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 75%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 73%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-28, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.84 for Inter Miami and 1.17 for Cincinnati.

Inter Miami scored about 1.2 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Inter Miami had 4 shots on target, Cincinnati 3.

Inter Miami had 60% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Inter Miami came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.88 expected goals for and 1.74 against, and had won 47% of their matches.

Cincinnati came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 35% of their matches.

Inter Miami vs Cincinnati: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Luis Suárez (Inter Miami), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Inter Miami

• Luis Suárez 7.8 1 goal
• Casemiro 7.3 1 assist
• Rodrigo De Paul 7.3 1 assist
• David Ayala 7.2
• Germán Berterame 7.0

Cincinnati

• Kenji Mboma Dem 7.7 1 goal
• Evander 7.5 1 assist
• Samuel Gidi 7.4 1 goal
• Tom Barlow 7.1 1 assist
• Obinna Nwobodo 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Dayne St. Clair at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Inter Miami: Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew Saturday 21 November 2026 · MLS
• Cincinnati: Orlando City vs Cincinnati Friday 20 November 2026 · MLS

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Inter Miami vs Cincinnati

What was the score in Inter Miami vs Cincinnati?

Inter Miami 2-2 Cincinnati (half-time 0-0), MLS, Wednesday 28 October 2026.

Who scored in Inter Miami vs Cincinnati?

Luis Suárez 61', Kenji Mboma Dem 80', Samuel Gidi 86', Riquelme Fillipi 90'.

Did Moneyball predict Inter Miami vs Cincinnati correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 4.00. On 2-2 it landed exactly on the line: neither right nor wrong.

Who was man of the match in Inter Miami vs Cincinnati?

Luis Suárez, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Inter Miami vs Cincinnati?

A. Villarreal.