Inter Miami 3-3 Charlotte: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
MLS · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Nu Stadium · referee R. Vazquez · full time
Full time: Inter Miami 3-3 Charlotte
Inter Miami and Charlotte drew 3-3 in MLS on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Nu Stadium. The goals: Ian Fray 14', Luis Suárez 33', Rodrigo De Paul 42', Liel Abada 50', Liel Abada 55', Rodolfo Aloko 90'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 14th minute: Ian Fray for Inter Miami. Luis Suárez made it 2-0 to Inter Miami in the 33rd minute, set up by Germán Berterame. Rodrigo De Paul made it 3-0 to Inter Miami in the 42nd minute, set up by Telasco Segovia. Liel Abada made it 3-1 to Charlotte in the 50th minute, set up by Tyger Smalls. Liel Abada made it 3-2 to Charlotte in the 55th minute, set up by Pep Biel. Charlotte levelled at 3-3 in the 90th minute through Rodolfo Aloko. Late, and enough for a draw.
Inter Miami were three goals up and could not hold on: Charlotte came back from three down for a draw.
It was 3-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Liel Abada scored twice.
The referee, R. Vazquez, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Inter Miami and 1 to Charlotte.
Inter Miami: C. González Peret, 4-3-3 · Charlotte: D. Smith, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Inter Miami win the likeliest outcome (54%), and a draw, at 20%, is what happened. At 20%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 4.1 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 77%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 74%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.12 for Inter Miami and 2.25 for Charlotte.
Inter Miami scored about 1.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Charlotte created the better chances, 2.25 xG to 1.12, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Inter Miami to create more, and Charlotte did.
Inter Miami had 5 shots on target, Charlotte 5.
Inter Miami had 60% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Inter Miami came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.88 expected goals for and 1.74 against, and had won 47% of their matches.
Charlotte came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.59 expected goals for and 2.08 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Inter Miami vs Charlotte: the match in numbers
| Inter Miami | Match statistics | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Ball possession | 40% |
| 1.12 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.25 |
| 15 | Total shots | 11 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Big chances | 4 |
| 670 | Total passes | 444 |
| 91% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Tackles | 11 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Liel Abada (Charlotte), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Inter Miami
- Rodrigo De Paul 7.6 1 goal
- Lionel Messi 7.5
- Luis Suárez 7.5 1 goal
- Ian Fray 7.4 1 goal
- Germán Berterame 7.2 1 assist
Charlotte
- Liel Abada 8.1 2 goals
- Rodolfo Aloko 7.5 1 goal
- Agyemang Morrison 7.1
- Pep Biel 7.0 1 assist
- Tyger Smalls 6.9 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Luca de la Torre at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Inter Miami: Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew Saturday 21 November 2026 · MLS
- Charlotte: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte Sunday 22 November 2026 · MLS
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Inter Miami vs Charlotte
What was the score in Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
Inter Miami 3-3 Charlotte (half-time 3-0), MLS, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
Ian Fray 14', Luis Suárez 33', Rodrigo De Paul 42', Liel Abada 50', Liel Abada 55', Rodolfo Aloko 90'.
Did Moneyball predict Inter Miami vs Charlotte correctly?
This one went against the numbers. The estimate made an Inter Miami win the likeliest outcome (54%), and a draw, at 20%, is what happened. At 20%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 5.
Who was man of the match in Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
Liel Abada, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Inter Miami vs Charlotte?
R. Vazquez.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.